January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hound wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:49 pm Abby:

461.jpg


223.jpg
Can’t be right. Too warm. Might just be terrain bleed snow
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:52 pm Can’t be right. Too warm. Might just be terrain bleed snow
You got it. That band produced rain showers here. :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
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#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

https://twitter.com/Brad604/status/1478 ... 51362?s=20
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

lots of heavy wet snow here.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The entire E Pacific is a bunch of Vort Maxes :clap: :clap:
That last one brought down the snowflakes to the city :thumbup:

The unstable atmosphere off our coast is outstanding! Tell em Catnip!! #surprises
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:52 pm Can’t be right. Too warm. Might just be terrain bleed snow
?? :think:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:07 pm?? :think:
:lol:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hound wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:11 pm:lol:
:lol: :lol: 8-)
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:52 pm Can’t be right. Too warm. Might just be terrain bleed snow
Monty when do you see the outflow kicking in Tuesday? Wednesday? And will it be strong or just enough to pull in cold air
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GFS brings a widespread 20-30 centimetres Thursday. Outstanding :shock:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera-1502800 (1).png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:19 pm GFS brings a widespread 20-30 centimetres Thursday. Outstanding :shock:gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera-1502800 (1).png
That’s inches! In 24hours!

20 inches in chilliwack!! :o
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Monty
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

John wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:14 pm Monty when do you see the outflow kicking in Tuesday? Wednesday? And will it be strong or just enough to pull in cold air
Late Tuesday or Wednesday. Not overly cold or strong. East wind maybe gusting to 50 would be my guess
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:06 pm The entire E Pacific is a bunch of Vort Maxes :clap: :clap:
That last one brought down the snowflakes to the city :thumbup:

The unstable atmosphere off our coast is outstanding! Tell em Catnip!! #surprises
One or possibly 2 organized bands of precip swing through tonight. I bet some places near warning criteria of 5+ cm by morning
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The negative surface temperature anomalies shown on the GFS would keep that snow around for a few days. Its crazy how much better this winter has been...this one event upcoming isn't even the best of the winter but it would be far better than anything we got last winter or most Januaries.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c_anom-1641232800-1641513600-1641837600-20.gif
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: ↑Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:21 pm That’s inches! In 24hours!

20 inches in chilliwack!! :o
Ok more like 30 - 50 cm on the map but I just can't take it at face value after what's happened with the GFS all winter.
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