Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
That’s some incredible Sh*t but i didn’t believe in analogs
- Canada Goose
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Yep, climate doesn't work like this. Wait and see...
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Well he is pretty bang on with dry November...wowCoquitlam79 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 26, 2019 10:45 am Same guy just predicted a dry spell lasting through most of November for SW BC. If he's right that really sucks for the start of the ski season cuz it's pretty much a guarantee that if there is a 3 week or so dry spell that it will be replaced by an atmospheric river/pineapple express type pattern. It usually happens that way at this time of year following extended ridging.
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing?
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
So you don’t think we’re going to see -20s on the coast this winter?
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
I don't think anything about seasonal forecast. It's way too complicated.
What I mean is that we can have a very dry and mild November, then a very dry and mild winter or a very wet and mild winter or a very wet and cold winter or a very dry and cold winter.
It's unlikely that we have this pattern all winter, so wait to see...
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
It’s fun to prognosticate.Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed Nov 06, 2019 8:14 pm I don't think anything about seasonal forecast. It's way too complicated.
What I mean is that we can have a very dry and mild November, then a very dry and mild winter or a very wet and mild winter or a very wet and cold winter or a very dry and cold winter.
It's unlikely that we have this pattern all winter, so wait to see...
Fun fact. I think the last -20C on the south coast was 2008
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Nanaimo?
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Yes sir. Their data is a bit sketchy that month, unfortunately, but it seems plausible looking at the hourly obs.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
December 2008 was the last time Kelowna was -30. Also, it was the EARLIEST ever to hit -30, reaching that mark on the 20th!
https://climat.meteo.gc.ca/climate_data ... &Year=2008
Other FACTS from Dec 2008:
-20.0C in:
NANAIMO
KITIMAT
OKANAGAN CENTRE
BILLINGS
KASLO
SOUTH SLOCAN
WARFIELD
-21.0C in:
OSOYOOS
PEACHLAND
-25.5C in:
NASS CAMP
WHISTLER ROUNDHOUSE
WHISTLER MOUNTAIN HIGH LEVEL
VERNON
-30 to -35C in:
FORT ST JAMES
MERRITT
SMITHERS
PRINCE GEORGE
CRANBROOK
Coldest spots:
PUNTZI MOUNTAIN (AUT) = -43
GERMANSEN LANDING = -42.9 [Weather station has since closed]
HORSEFLY LAKE GRUHS LAKE = -41
100 MILE HOUSE 6NE = -41
LUNCH LAKE = -40.5 [Weather station has since closed]
CHETWYND A = -40.5
SPOKIN LAKE 4E = -40
https://climat.meteo.gc.ca/climate_data ... &Year=2008
Other FACTS from Dec 2008:
-20.0C in:
NANAIMO
KITIMAT
OKANAGAN CENTRE
BILLINGS
KASLO
SOUTH SLOCAN
WARFIELD
-21.0C in:
OSOYOOS
PEACHLAND
-25.5C in:
NASS CAMP
WHISTLER ROUNDHOUSE
WHISTLER MOUNTAIN HIGH LEVEL
VERNON
-30 to -35C in:
FORT ST JAMES
MERRITT
SMITHERS
PRINCE GEORGE
CRANBROOK
Coldest spots:
PUNTZI MOUNTAIN (AUT) = -43
GERMANSEN LANDING = -42.9 [Weather station has since closed]
HORSEFLY LAKE GRUHS LAKE = -41
100 MILE HOUSE 6NE = -41
LUNCH LAKE = -40.5 [Weather station has since closed]
CHETWYND A = -40.5
SPOKIN LAKE 4E = -40
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
CKNW mentioned this morning looks like a good dart board to me.Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:00 am https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/ne ... ow-outlook
5D6437A7-43B6-4979-9C71-4F6F42AFDDE4.jpeg
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather