October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:21 pm Boo.

gfs_T850_nwus_28.png
Yup. GFS showing specks of snow up here but the pressure gradients suggest a few days of very strong outflow which would lead to a very dry airmass up here.

You don't want that initial trough to dig too far offshore.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:18 pm Looking like a dry chill up here while our pals down south get hit with :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
Cold :raindrip: down south for everyone below 300m!
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

On the bright side. This should kill off those pesky stink bugs. :clap:
gfs_T2m_nwus_31.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

FEETZ for SEA and PDX

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

GFS is still drunk. Crazy cold, relatively speaking -- considering how early in the season it is). Shows daytime highs below 0c next Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday across the south coast.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM a lot more realistic next week. Cool and showery with flurries in the hills.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:26 pm Yup. GFS showing specks of snow up here but the pressure gradients suggest a few days of very strong outflow which would lead to a very dry airmass up here.

You don't want that initial trough to dig too far offshore.
00z GFS Sort of looks like February 2019 when Seattle - Portland got slammed with those snow storms while we were chilly, windy, and dry.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:35 pm GFS is still drunk. Crazy cold, relatively speaking -- considering how early in the season it is). Shows daytime highs below 0c next Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday across the south coast.
:facepalm2: No point to cold if there isn't snow, imo. :lol: :lol:

🎃 🎃 🎃
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:33 pm FEETZ for SEA and PDX

Image
GFS is still throwing spaghetti on the walls and trying something to stick.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS
Day 5 to 10
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh120-240 (1).gif


850mb temps
gfs_T850_nwus_fh120-240 (1).gif


Surface temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_fh120-240 (2).gif
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:40 pm GFS is still throwing spaghetti on the walls and trying something to stick.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

GEM is worlds apart from the GFS. Cool and rainy, snowy for higher elevations -- above ~500m.

00z GEM
Day 5 to 10
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh120-240.gif


850mb temps
gem_T850_nwus_fh120-240.gif


Surface temps
gem_T2m_nwus_fh120-240.gif
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Storm »

I am sorry but there's no way this is happening.
sfct.us_nw.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:39 pm :facepalm2: No point to cold if there isn't snow, imo. :lol: :lol:

🎃 🎃 🎃
I'm fine with the dry cold now... if we are guaranteed a real January for once. 8-)

Hasn't happened since 1993. :thumbdown:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:49 pm I am sorry but there's no way this is happening.
sfct.us_nw.png
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