October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 10:12 am Not always! There was whining from Eugene when I posted my overnight precip total to the AF this morning.
That guy seems to be a perpetual downer. :lol:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 11:38 am#warningshot
"Models scaling back from 15cm to 5cm."
"Flurries approaching from Bellingham!!"
"Looks like the outflow is cranking up and drying us out."
"Similkameen just got dumped on!!!"
"Similkameen!!!"
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 12:05 pm "Models scaling back from 15cm to 5cm."
"Flurries approaching from Bellingham!!"
"Looks like the outflow is cranking up and drying us out."
"Similkameen just got dumped on!!!"
"Similkameen!!!"
Tell Em Hawk!!

:hawk: :hawk: :hawk:
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#extrapolate
extrap.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 12:15 pm #extrapolate

extrap.png
#notches
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

EPS.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 12:05 pm That guy seems to be a perpetual downer. :lol:
This time, it wasn’t the usual suspect from Eugene.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221024204117-92c2fddcadc93649529f87ad523065c902955bc2.png

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (10).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (11).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It's crazy, most weather models are showing at least 100mm of rain by between Sunday and Wednesday next week. GEM shows almost 200mm in the 240 hours.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

CYXX_2022102412_snow_360.png
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:17 pm CYXX_2022102412_snow_360.png
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:

Image
:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by John »

https://twitter.com/BCWeather101/status ... eK4v0rAAAA

This guy seems a bit of an exaggerater imo
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

John wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:31 pm

This guy seems a bit of an exaggerater imo
Irresponsible for sure since it seems he has a decently large platform. AR potential? Yes, for sure. But looks fairly run-of-the-mill and nothing even remotely close to what we saw last year.

Suspect people now will hear the term AR and immediately think worst case scenario despite the fact they are extremely common every wet season.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

John wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:31 pm

This guy seems a bit of an exaggerater imo
Wasn’t he predicting a wind storm for yesterday?

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:38 pm Irresponsible for sure since it seems he has a decently large platform. AR potential? Yes, for sure. But looks fairly run-of-the-mill and nothing even remotely close to what we saw last year.

Suspect people now will hear the term AR and immediately think worst case scenario despite the fact they are extremely common every wet season.
I agree fully TAR :lol: after unfortunately having to go through the flooding at my work for a couple if day's last November and having to stay in Abbsviille for a couple of day's l must admit l get a wee bit rattled now at the word AR.
It's had a lasting effect on me as well as others l'm sure that had to deal with it. :thumbdown:
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