October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Ok.. something is going on……

Yep, still think it's homeless campfires getting out of control, just seems weird it's in wooded areas lately in the GVRD.
12:30a.m. and still 17c @ the only pond in south Sardis.

[Typeing3]

Driest Octobers (Abbotsford)
#1 -- 1987: 19.6mm

#2 -- 2002: 35.2mm

#3 -- 1936: 37.1mm

#4 -- 1972: 48mm

#5 -- 1991: 50.4mm

#6 -- 1952: 51.8mm

#7 -- 1974: 58.4mm

#8 -- 1954: 61.2mm

#9 -- 2006: 62.4mm

#10 -- 1964: 62.5mm

#11 -- 2013: 63.1mm

#12 -- 1980: 66.9mm

#13 -- 1978: 73mm

#14 -- 1993: 82mm

#15 -- 1942: 84.1mm

#16 -- 1962: 85.6mm

#17 -- 1957: 86.6mm



Data: Upper Sumas (1936-1944) + YXX (1945-2021)

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (48).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (49).png

[Typeing3]

20221007084744-b30d7785f7f46de9c00e4e952bc8e38ffcee32b4.png

[Typeing3]

Next 16 days total precip on the ensembles

00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (5).png

00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (6).png

[Typeing3]

Next 10 days total precip

00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_40.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Driest Octobers (Abbotsford)
#2 -- 2002: 35.2mm
#11 -- 2013: 63.1mm
Data: Upper Sumas (1936-1944) + YXX (1945-2021)

Guess 2012, did a complete turnaround and dumped rain on us, l recall the warmth even on Thanksgiving day that year yet 2013 shows up as #11, l remember 2002 fondly seems it didn't rain till November that year. some decent winters followed those ridiculously dry Octobers.

[SouthSardiswx]

Bye bye precip hello continued shorts and tee days this ia absolutely insane.
2:30a.m. stuck at 17c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

Holy hot dog 4a.m. Agassiz 21c with an outflow breeze gusting to 27kmh Hope is 18c with an 11kmh outflow breeze this is absolutely crazy for an October 7th morning.
If the wind doesn't die down would this be a record overnight high low for Agassiz in October, it's got to be a record for warmest this late. Goose man?

[SouthSardiswx]

My car temperature this morning Sumas Way high way 1 12c, Whatcom Rd 14c 3 road 20c to Lickman, home in south Sardis @ the pond 15c highway 1 corridor flags at O'Connor RV were flapping abit from the NE.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Holy hot dog 4a.m. Agassiz 21c with an outflow breeze gusting to 27kmh Hope is 18c with an 11kmh outflow breeze this is absolutely crazy for an October 7th morning.
If the wind doesn't die down would this be a record overnight high low for Agassiz in October, it's got to be a record for warmest this late. Goose man?

12.2°C here. The east wind has taken our air quality into the toilet again. Awoke with a headache this morning.

[Catnip]

6z GFS Total Precip.

6z.png

[SouthSardiswx]

12.2°C here. The east wind has taken our air quality into the toilet again. Awoke with a headache this morning.

Sorry to hear that man, you'd be suffering out here in the central valley the sky is a puky milky color and air smells like last years left over Thanksgiving turkey. l haven't seen a clear blue sky for day's it seems.

[Hawk]

You know it's bad for mosquitoes when they sneak into my garage when I'm parking my vehicle. I got a mosquito bite last night. Then I saw two mosquitoes in my garage. This is October 7th?

And the mushroom Harvest this year will be a non event

[Hawk]

Warm Spring like temperatures were about 2 months late in arriving this year. Rainy cooler weather is also delayed this year. Does that mean that our cold snowy weather is going to be delayed again? Are we going to see cold and snowy temperatures in February and March again?