October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Abby_wx
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 1511
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Mission City
Elevation: 157m (515ft)
Has thanked: 6905 times
Been thanked: 3930 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Catnip wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 10:40 am 7/10 of the warmest occurred in the new millennium.

:shock:

:think:

Crazy, but unsurprising.

Hmm... it seems like two thirds of his posts are about the humidity at YVR, all based on obviously bad data. Surprised he's just accepting them at face value.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4465
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12477 times
Been thanked: 8204 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Seriously, it's already October? September sure flew by. October shaping up to be most interesting.. to boldly go where no October has gone before?
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 9:56 am Welcome to October! The CFS monthly for November is wet and temps have no signal for warmth or cold for SW BC.

CFSv2.NaT2m.20221001.202211.gif
CFSv2.NaPrec.20221001.202211.gif
Very wet though!

Colder than average to our north and warmer than average to our south usually translates to above average rainfall for us. Perhaps by late month or December those cold anomalies to our north gradually slide south, which ould be good news a possible arctic blast around these parts and above average precip further south in Oregon and California where they really need it.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Image


:alert:
Image
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Image


:alert:
Image
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 462
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 1031 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

This model shows a full 180. The consenus in the models really breaks down after Thanksgiving.
prec2-10.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z EPS

Days 5-10
5-10.png
Days 10-15
10-15.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (36).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (37).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (38).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 11:59 am Seriously, it's already October? September sure flew by. October shaping up to be most interesting.. to boldly go where no October has gone before?
l'm sure to boldy go where the Knuckles will never go in October is suffice to say skipper.
This is on Yale rd in downtown Chilliwack and the heat goes on. :crazy:
IMG_20221001_155738.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221001225043-f121d33ac0c50a3617dff8b49f4819301bd612c5.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Leighbugs
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 413
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:41 pm
Location: West Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 521 times
Been thanked: 1487 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

I hope everyone has their snow tires on since it's mandatory to drive on the interior highways. :lol:

So weird that's it's 27 degrees right now while I decorate for Thanksgiving/ Halloween.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Leighbugs wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 4:38 pm I hope everyone has their snow tires on since it's mandatory to drive on the interior highways. :lol:

So weird that's it's 27 degrees right now while I decorate for Thanksgiving/ Halloween.
:thumbup: looking forward to hanging Christmas lights in shorts this year. :crazy: it's a warm 25c @ the pond in south Sardis.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2300
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 769 times
Been thanked: 4923 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 6:15 pm :thumbup: looking forward to hanging Christmas lights in shorts this year. :crazy: it's a warm 25c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Christmas 1980 repeat!

High/low of 18.2c/10.0c on December 26, 1980. :o
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:11 pm Christmas 1980 repeat!

High/low of 18.2c/10.0c on December 26, 1980. :o
Yes but hard to believe the snow and cold the beginning of the month was insane but enjoyable.
I remember my girlfriend lived in Aldergrove and they had wicked outflow and at least 30cm of snow compared to half that in New Westminster.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Post Reply