September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (17).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (18).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220918103315-627950b8c55e80f21cfb5411c8749b45b0bd4dee.png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

It's a end of summer mini me heat hump then dump the next 4 days, 25c Sunday 26c Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday in central valley. :clap: :thumbup: the shorts day's continue.
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Troughs
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Cool this morning. 6.6C
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: Sun Sep 18, 2022 9:10 am Cool this morning. 6.6C
And 18c in Agassiz with a brisk NE outflow this morning. :wtf:
This just announced by the provincial government Sumas lake to be re named Queen Elizabeth lake in November. :lol:
Just announced by the federal government Heads or tails all Canadian coins to replace Queens head with Trudeau's same idea as PM's head on a plate once he's booted out of office. :lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Got up to 26c today @ the pond in south Sardis what a fantastic shorts and tee day in the central valley. :thumbup:
Well with things opening up again the late night comedy act featuring Skipper Grumps makes a rude return this winter get your tickets early even though we don't have any. :wtf: here's a clip.
I went to a weather forum the other day and a storm broke out. :lol: :roll:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Sep 18, 2022 11:41 pm
Yeah l was beginning to wonder skipper :lol: l think we missed the invite to the Similkameens. :wtf: Tman is home 🏡 same with you and l guess were considered fossils to attend.
Oh well goodnight to have me some Ovaltine with a dab of Vitog. :sick: Tried a bit of late night fishy comedy didn't work.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (20).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (21).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (22).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220919091758-76a338b77ea64a4f2f0a8eb335e9c3a252171d89.png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Sep 19, 2022 2:18 am 20220919091758-76a338b77ea64a4f2f0a8eb335e9c3a252171d89.png
The torchy spells are now below 30ËšC, so at least there is that.

Went out looking for mushrooms near Stave Lake yesterday. Saw virtually none of any kind, even though the forest floor was not totally dry. Either it’s too early, or it’s going to be a dud season, or both. (And yes, I have found chanterelles in September before, many times.)
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

^ Yup, YVR is dubious. The ECCC station is more accurate right now and significantly different from the Nav Canada station.

Yesterday was the first freeze of the year for Smithers, Merritt, Williams Lake, and Sparwood. Note that Williams Lake airport is about 1000ft above the lake, so likely warmer in the valley (though Merritt is the same elevation as the Williams Lake valley bottom so who knows... no, wait, my relatives there tell me that the low was 1.7 downtown).
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

GFS/GEFS and GEM/GEPS are showing signs of rain at 20-40mm between now and beginning of October.
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-ens_box-3567200.png
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-3588800.png
gem-all-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-3588800.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-ens_box-3545600.png
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