August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Another frigid day! :chilly:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:24 am Another frigid day! :chilly:
It's a beautiful summer day. ;)
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:24 am Another frigid day! :chilly:
According to EC, the high both today and yesterday at YVR was 21°C, which is exactly average for this time of year.

:arrow: :arrow:
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:24 am Another frigid day! :chilly:
What happened to the heat? Currently 17° in Aldergrove :chilly:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Well, that wind didn't happen here last night. It was pretty quiet out there.

Nice night tonight. I'd say it was a bit cool but I don't want to tempt fate with 'gifting' us another heat wave. :lol: :lol:

High of 21.7c in Sechelt, currently 16.9c. Is it cold enough to snow yet? :flakey: :flakey: :flakey: :lol: :lol:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Abby_wx wrote: Fri Aug 26, 2022 8:02 pm I hit 20.9C this afternoon after a low of 15.4C. That's a very small diurnal range for August.
That's an interesting statistic to follow. High of 21.7 low of 13.9c here.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 12:01 am A pretty big pullback for total precip on the 00Z Euro. :lol:
I thought your first map with all the reds and browns was a mega heat wave and was very happy to see it was precip instead. That would have been a big problem with the ground rock hard and dry, it would have all run off. Hoping for just the right amount. :clap: :clap:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 6:37 pm According to EC, the high both today and yesterday at YVR was 21°C, which is exactly average for this time of year.

:arrow: :arrow:
Yes but who lives at YVR.... :lol:

Colder than average for 99% of the region! :problem:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Currently my temp is 13.5° on my northern thermometer and 16.5° on the western , 15° on the EC white rock station, 14° on cellphone weather app for white rock and 12° :chilly: on my car thermometer . There , I've got the temperature surrounded. Will the real white rock temperature please stand up!

Indoor temperature at 22° :chilly:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

12°C overnight. Finally a crisp night!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 9:38 pm I thought your first map with all the reds and browns was a mega heat wave and was very happy to see it was precip instead. That would have been a big problem with the ground rock hard and dry, it would have all run off. Hoping for just the right amount. :clap: :clap:
Like what happened in 1991. Significant flooding in the Sea the Sky region at the end of August that year. Even the October floods of 2003 followed months of drier than normal conditions. The ground couldn't absorb any moisture. There is also, of course, no deep snowpack in August or even in October, to absorb the rainfall thus leading to more rapid run off at the higher levels.
I don't think we're gonna see a switch to a rainy pattern anytime soon anyway, the models are flip flopping a lot. The trend is drier than normal for the next 2 weeks according to the latest CPC.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Aug 28, 2022 7:05 am 12°C overnight. Finally a crisp night!
Exact same here.

"Crisp" aka the "normal" low for Abbotsford based on the 1981-2010 period. :lol:

Edit: that's for the entire month of August. The average for Aug 28th is 10.8C.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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