August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Note that the warming of average lows is mostly due to the UHI (Urban Heat Island) - buildings give off heat which provides a source of warmth during the overnight that may not have been present 50+ years ago for some climate stations.

YXX is a great example of an area that has developed substantially since the 50s, so it's makes sense that the lows have warmed considerably.

Didn't we have a Nordelian back on the old forums. wasn't he the owners partner.

[SouthSardiswx]

Urban heat island effect.

Pavement.
Roofs.
Building structures.
Exposed top soil.
Low level ozone.

This can have a profound effect on temperatures through heat retention on a regional scale. Even for locations 100km away from the UHI.

Hawks flapping there wings.

[SouthSardiswx]

Ah you are correct Catface, our forum alone creates enough friction sometimes to warm the area with the arguing at times.

[SouthSardiswx]

Too many users

Hamsters not running fast enough Ms. Firecreeks.

[SouthSardiswx]

Ah yes , it's all coming back to me, from gr.9 social studies , about the bitter and fierce Similkameens vs Tulameens rivalry , equalled only by the Hatfields- McCoys family feud. In 1875 The Similkameens were pushed deep into the mountains east of hwy 5a by the Tulameens , they then retreated back west of the hwy and settled near Otter lake, where they currently have a thriving community with quad rentals, a community centre, an outdoor skating rink, a library, a volunteer fire department, a skidoo dealer and repair centre, and a general store. While the Similkameens currently has umm.. nothing , maybe some snowmobiling with one cabin.

~FakeiPedia~

The Similkameens
Feud-gallery-FD2068M_WVRHC.jpg

The Tulameens

5Y5Y5JWC2ZMJZDGB7VLSYQNOEA.jpg

Does being alone in the Shizmilkameeeeeeeenzzzz make your think your a Hawk? skipper Gumps.

[Hawk]

I would suggest the removal of said trees and forests is a part of the UHI.

Whoa..good call

[Hawk]

1951 winter? Yes, for sure.

1950 winter? Yes, at some point, but probably not anytime soon for us to experience it.

Ya sorry that's what I meant. I wasnt around back then so never experienced the Great Winter of 1950

[Hawk]

I was actually thinking the opposite - the area of YXX has not significantly urbanized since the 50's. Not compared to other areas.

Outside of the South Fraser Way corridor, Abbotsford is not a very heavily ubanized area. Just look at Google Earth and compare to other places such as Langley city, Port Kells, Newton, Annacis Island, Sea Island (YVR)... all places that have significantly urbanized over the last 70 years.

Some UHI effect is likely, but I don't think it's the main driver.

Ya...tell em Abby!!!

[Roberts Creeker]

Amazing sky tonight. So many different cloud types and contrails. Made for a very interesting view. The first is my fav with the stark white cloud behind the soft pink ones.

More info on the fire, person caused and 0.03ha. Hopefully they are able to get it out quickly. The helicopters stopped flying this afternoon so I thought it was out/under control but they updated with an increase in size. I wish they had a time of update on the site too.

[SouthSardiswx]

Amazing sky tonight. So many different cloud types and contrails. Made for a very interesting view. The first is my fav with the stark white cloud behind the soft pink ones.

More info on the fire, person caused and 0.03ha. Hopefully they are able to get it out quickly. The helicopters stopped flying this afternoon so I thought it was out/under control but they updated with an increase in size. I wish they had a time of update on the site too.

Absolutely outstanding shots, Ms. Amazingcreeks, you've got your chemtrails to keep the rain away, Hawk trails to guard against Flamingo infestation, Haarp trails to keep everything away.
And picasso colors to boot best shots this summer.

[SouthSardiswx]

Ya sorry that's what I meant. I wasnt around back then so never experienced the Great Winter of 1950

Your dad John was.

[Hawk]

Temps over the next 7 days look very comfortable..barely reaching 30c in Abby during this persistent heatwave
Even Bono would approve

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

[Typeing3]

20220814131240-06eb9a91c9ebc2504eeba7efb51e28de414ed3a9.png

[Hawk]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png

very nice..thx for posting with updates daily
Looks very reasonable as we move towards September. How many consecutive back to back to back heat waves @~34c can we get right?