July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 4:37 pm The end is near, friends. We just have to get through this weekend. Looks like a surge of marine cloud on Monday morning leading to cooler afternoon highs.
Music to my ears. Unlike you, I don’t mind a string a of days in the 28–30 range as long as the dewpoints stay in a non-obscene range, but this long string of mid-30s with humidex around 40 is getting very old and can’t end soon enough.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Glacier wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 4:32 pm Princeton has the lowest dewpoint in the province. Feels like 34 when it's actually 36. By contrast, Agassiz feels like 44 when it's only 34.
Interesting, I didn't know that a low dp would reduce the temp. Thanks for the info! :clap: :clap:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Cool and grey on the horizon. :clap: :clap: I'm almost as excited about that as I am about snow...Just hope it verifies unlike most snow in the forecast.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 3:34 pm YESSSSSS Iceman :clap: :clap:
It can be 38/39 in the Similkameens, buuuuuut it feels like ur in an oven..hot, but not even a drop of sweat :thumbup: :thumbup:
On the coast a slightly humid 30-32c feels way worse imo
Agreed. The heat combined with high humidity is way worse than dry heat in my opinion as well. Thankfully, this heatwave should end Sunday night. Monday looks cooler with significant cooling on Tuesday. :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

arbetrader wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:57 am Howdy everyone! Hope you're all surviving well these days 😎

I was just wondering when the last time we have had this many days in a row over 30° Celsius, say, at yxx...

By the looks of it, this stretch could end up going a full 7 days which would be pretty impressive for Abbotsford.

I've been going to the river every day this week so far.... Been super nice.
While I haven't looked at all the historical data, the two heat events I'm aware of that are similar to this current heatwave would be the August 1981 event and the famous June 2021 heat storm.

The August 1981 heatwave featured 6 days above 30C. Most of those days were in the mid-upper 30's with high humidity.

The June 2021 event was obviously the most intense heatwave that featured temperatures in the mid-upper 30's and low 40's. During the heat storm, Abbotsford recorded 5 days over 32C and two days over 40C. High humidity was the theme throughout the entire event.

This current heatwave will likely end up featuring 7 days of 30C+ temperatures with high humidity. Most of the days being in the low-mid 30's with the humidex in the upper-low 40's.

Comparing this current heatwave to the 1981 and 2021 event, this one looks very similar to the one that occurred in 1981.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

By far the hottest day of the summer in Ashcroft. Currently 41.2C so might finish higher today. Lytton was 42.2 today (Lytton almost always peaks a lot earlier than other interior stations, and starts dropping an hour or two head of Ashcroft and Lillooet). There's an outside chance of hitting 40 for the 4th day in a row for Lytton and Lillooet tomorrow, but I think they'll both come up short.

Ashcroft has been 40 2 of the past 3 day, Osoyoos 2 in a row, and Warfield 2 in a row. 5 pm summary...
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hound wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 4:26 pm Well, I'm done with the hot weather. Can we go back down to 24c max? :P
I remember those good ol' days. Ranging around 20c with a high of 23c What wonderful times :lol: :lol: :lol:

29.2 outside 30.1 inside, time to open the windows.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:19 am Me, pay attention to ripening berries? Whatever gave you that idea? ;)
Yes..the crops are suffering this year. It goes from soggy cool spring to 35c, prolonged heat wave mid summer. On a side note, the OK cherries weren't that sweet this year. They tasted kinda woody. Anyone else notice that? :think:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 5:21 pm While I haven't looked at all the historical data, the two heat events I'm aware of that are similar to this current heatwave would be the August 1981 event and the famous June 2021 heat storm.

The August 1981 heatwave featured 6 days above 30C. Most of those days were in the mid-upper 30's with high humidity.

The June 2021 event was obviously the most intense heatwave that featured temperatures in the mid-upper 30's and low 40's. During the heat storm, Abbotsford recorded 5 days over 32C and two days over 40C. High humidity was the theme throughout the entire event.

This current heatwave will likely end up featuring 7 days of 30C+ temperatures with high humidity. Most of the days being in the low-mid 30's with the humidex in the upper-low 40's.

Comparing this current heatwave to the 1981 and 2021 event, this one looks very similar to the one that occurred in 1981.
Add July 2018 into the mix. If you look at EC's historical data for that month, a couple days are missing, but they were north of 30C. Off the top of my head there were eight consecutive days 30 or greater. There were three days in a row of 33.

I think I might be an outlier here. Growing up in the Okanagan, I loathe the marine layer. There's Nov - Mar for consistently grey, clammy weather lovers. Despite the heat, the sun brightens my mood. A few days of troughiness in mid-summer with some needed rain, fine. But a depressing marine layer with drizzle on what would otherwise be a sunny morning: hard pass.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Mattman wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 5:42 pm Add July 2018 into the mix. If you look at EC's historical data for that month, a couple days are missing, but they were north of 30C. Off the top of my head there were eight consecutive days 30 or greater. There were three days in a row of 33.

I think I might be an outlier here. Growing up in the Okanagan, I loathe the marine layer. There's Nov - Mar for consistently grey, clammy weather lovers. Despite the heat, the sun brightens my mood. A few days of troughiness in mid-summer with some needed rain, fine. But a depressing marine layer with drizzle on what would otherwise be a sunny morning: hard pass.
Are you talking about the persistent valley fog in the OK? :think:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 1:37 pm Any idea why sudden spike and interest in hiking in the last 10 years or so? I mean it's understandable with all the mountainous beauty we have here in BC and Jasper/Banff area. I'm sure local hiking trails of gotten alot busier like Quarry rock in Deep Cove , but was quite surprised when I saw on news a few years ago at all the people going to Jofree lakes trail near Pemberton and having to park on the highway. When I discovered the area in mid 80's I hardly saw anybody there.
Imo these are the three biggest factors in order of importance:

1. Accessibility: Many highways across the province have undergone and continue to undergo massive infrastructure developments to improve driving conditions (ex. widening, getting rid of hard turns, etc) and for overall safety. Case in point, Hwy 1 from Kamloops thru to the Alberta border has had the twinning (double laning) project underway for just over a decade now, where they have made gradual but massive improvements to address increases in traffic volumes and safety. Another prominent example is Hwy 99 (sea to sky) with equally massive infrastructure improvements. Especially along the Vancouver to Whistler corridor. Think of how much more dangerous that route was even just 15 years ago.

The other two are pretty self explanatory;
2. Increasing population
3. Increasing international tourist flows


Another point just regarding hiking could also tie into the first point regarding accessibility; many trails that are now "mainstream" were harder to get to and more dangerous in years gone by.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Mild, humid and mix of sun and cloud here in Fort St. John. EC has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for tonight. :think:

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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 6:01 pm Imo these are the three biggest factors in order of importance:

1. Accessibility.......
Another point just regarding hiking could also tie into the first point regarding accessibility; many trails that are now "mainstream" were harder to get to and more dangerous in years gone by.
Yes but with the increased foot traffic on those remote trails, there will no doubt be more cougar sightings now too. Guaranteed people will see them all the time now. I'm talking 2 legged ones
:eek: :eek:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Some pretty high dew points across the region this evening. Relatively speaking.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:55 pm Some pretty high dew points across the region this evening. Relatively speaking.
7 PM observation at YVR was a dew of 23. I think Goose mentioned that the all-time record was 22.2 so I believe we have set an all-time record.
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