March 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I’d say a Typer-approved category 5 cold snap is nothing to sneeze at. When he posted that list, if I had opined that there was even a decent chance of a cat 5 happening this winter, I bet it would have garnered any number of “reality checks” about the likelihood of it happening. I sure didn’t expect it to happen.

Face it, ours just is not a very cold or snowy climate. If snow is important to you, you are living in the wrong part of Canada!

[Hawk]

Hopefully we can get a dry and warm stretch. However April-May will likely be chilly and wet.

Thanks Just like we were supposed to have a cold/wet winter?

[Hawk]

This century began at the stroke of midnight, 1 January 2001.

ok..

[Typeing3]

I’d say a Typer-approved category 5 cold snap is nothing to sneeze at. When he posted that list, if I had opined that there was even a decent chance of a cat 5 happening this winter, I bet it would have garnered any number of “reality checks” about the likelihood of it happening. I sure didn’t expect it to happen.

Face it, ours just is not a very cold or snowy climate. If snow is important to you, you are living in the wrong part of Canada!

I'd also concur with PK that this was the third best winter of the century. Mainly because of the intense severity of the cold snap, where temps more or less remained subzero for about two weeks, dipping to relatively extreme values for a few days (both for daytime highs and nighttime lows), plus all the snow that fell during that period too.

[Hawk]

Heavy snows on the local mtns

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (15).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (16).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (17).png

[PortKells]

Yes nice positive spin to the sad winter we had. But the 3rd best this century?

In my books this winter was pretty sad minus "The 10 days of Winter"

2006/2007 is the only competition I can think of. And I mean that winter had two notable events, neither which happened during the heart of winter like this one. But if you value a crazy Blizzard and ridiculously deep snow then you might take that winter over this one.

In fact if you value quality over quantity you might rank this one over 16/17 but that would be crazy to me.

1. 2008/09
2. 2016/17
3. 2021/22 vs 2006/2007

[Typeing3]

On this day 20 years ago, we had clear skies with afternoon temps hovering near freezing with patchy snowcover across parts of the Lower Mainland, after snow fell on the 14th and 15th. The two mostly clear/cold days were followed by rounds of snow later on the 18th, 19th and 20th with totals across the region ranging from about 10cm to locally over 30cm.

Found these pics taken on March 16, 2002 looking north on Main St. Note the very low snow line with snow cover present across residential parts of the north shore.
https://www.flickr.com/photos/canadagoo ... otostream/
https://www.flickr.com/photos/canadagoo ... otostream/

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 7575078917

https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 7316316164

https://twitter.com/KClarkWx/status/1504477329866731536


1955 and 1975 as summer analogues?
https://twitter.com/ahberrington/status ... 2450316288

YVR average high/low + total precipitation
Jun 1955: 18.0c/10.1c + 75.6mm
Jul 1955: 19.7c/11.8c + 47.8mm
Aug 1955: 21.0c/11.4c + 2.8mm
Sep 1955: 17.7c/9.7c + 30.5mm

Jun 1975: 18.4c/10.2c + 24.8mm
Jul 1975: 23.1c/12.9c + 12.0mm
Aug 1975: 19.7c/11.9c + 101.3mm
Sep 1975: 19.0c/9.1c + 0.3mm

[AbbyJr]

2006/2007 is the only competition I can think of. And I mean that winter had two notable events, neither which happened during the heart of winter like this one. But if you value a crazy Blizzard and ridiculously deep snow then you might take that winter over this one.

In fact if you value quality over quantity you might rank this one over 16/17 but that would be crazy to me.

1. 2008/09
2. 2016/17
3. 2021/22 vs 2006/2007

December 1996 was also big in the snow department.

[PortKells]

December 1996 was also big in the snow department.

Just discussing this century. If you go back further obviously the standard changes. The 90's alone would kick this entire century's arse.

[Hawk]

Just discussing this century. If you go back further obviously the standard changes. The 90's alone would kick this entire century's arse.

That was funny PK

[Hawk]

Ya Nitos prolly right..now Typing maps confirm. Here comes the usual cold wet March and April. Seems to be like this most years. Where was this persistent troffing in Jan/ Feb?
Mtns been getting pummeled with snow. Today was 6c most of the day under cold rain. Very troffy weather. Tell em Nito!!!

[Bonovox]

Jun 1955: 18.0c/10.1c + 75.6mm
Jul 1955: 19.7c/11.8c + 47.8mm
Aug 1955: 21.0c/11.4c + 2.8mm
Sep 1955: 17.7c/9.7c + 30.5mm

Jun 1975: 18.4c/10.2c + 24.8mm
Jul 1975: 23.1c/12.9c + 12.0mm
Aug 1975: 19.7c/11.9c + 101.3mm
Sep 1975: 19.0c/9.1c + 0.3mm

Those are my kind of summers.

[SouthSardiswx]

On this day 20 years ago, we had clear skies with afternoon temps hovering near freezing with patchy snowcover across parts of the Lower Mainland, after snow fell on the 14th and 15th. The two mostly clear/cold days were followed by rounds of snow later on the 18th, 19th and 20th with totals across the region ranging from about 10cm to locally over 30cm.

Found these pics taken on March 16, 2002 looking north on Main St. Note the very low snow line with snow cover present across residential parts of the north shore.

Nice find Tees we were talking about this event afew months ago.
I remember this well its one of those events that probably won't be duplicated anytime soon.