February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Antares
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 10:56 pm Diet Pepsi in between the taste of all fellow groggers. 8-) end of the ZEURO looks like a flat transitory ridge then lots of energy up stream could be good for mountain snow finally.
R.I.P.
:o :silent: :think:

Meanwhile I will be drinking Quebecois ales every night. :wave:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Antares wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:05 pm R.I.P.
:o :silent: :think:

Meanwhile I will be drinking Quebecois ales every night. :wave:
:lol: sounds like a plan, it makes you forget the back of of this un eventual winter.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ECMWF

Monday morning temps
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_38.png
Tuesday morning temps
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_46.png
Wednesday morning temps
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_51.png
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:00 am
Decent chill early next week Tmoon, be nice if we get some moisture to coincide with it.
Tuesday nights full moon was called a snow moon.🌙
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ECMWF

Sunday evening thru Tuesday evening
ecmwf_z500a_namer_fh102-150.gif
ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_nwus_fh105-150.gif
ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102-150.gif
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Last edited by Typeing3 on Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:03 am
Maybe a Cat 1 Tchilly? wonder where El Neets went to? probably sexually satisfied that winters done. :lol:
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:06 am Maybe a Cat 1 Tchilly?
Could be.

A reminder...
Category 1 Cold Snap - The Arctic Fart
Highs: 2c to 0c
Lows: -2c to -6c
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:08 am Could be.

A reminder...
Category 1 Cold Snap - The Arctic Fart
Highs: 2c to 0c
Lows: -2c to -6c
Or a Cat 0 which was a plus 5c with -15c dewpoints something like that it was just a random Cat l put in.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Vancouver - Lowest 850mb temp on the ensemble mean.

00z ECMWF: -11.8c (Tuesday 10am)
00z GFS: -9.8c (Tuesday 10am)
00z GEM: -8.3c (Tuesday 10am)
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:16 pm :lol: sounds like a plan, it makes you forget the back of of this un eventual winter.
We are just too far west on the continent.

Even here in Cranbrook...too far west for a decent winter!
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:11 am Or a Cat 0 which was a plus 5c with -15c dewpoints something like that it was just a random Cat l put in.
I don't remember the Cat 0 criteria but that sounds about right. :lol:

I did find the outflow rating system you made a while back. :thumbup:
SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 2:47 am Made a comment earlier remember Jan/11 Tnog when people were reporting hearing those harmonic sounds.? also was thinking for outflow Cats
for the fraser valley
Cat 1: Light pant ripper
Cat 2: Minor pant ripper
Cat 3: Moderate pant ripper
Cat 4: Major pant ripper
Cat 5: Extreme pant ripper (Pants torn off boxers remaining)
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Antares wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:13 am We are just too far west on the continent.

Even here in Cranbrook...too far west for a decent winter!
Gotta move to Halifax! Or is that too far east... :shh:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:17 am I don't remember the Cat 0 criteria but that sounds about right. :lol:

I did find the outflow rating system you made a while back. :thumbup:
Oh yes :lol: l figure it won't get much use for awhile after this winter. Fun while it lasted l may have to do a heat dome scale but that would be morbid like Cat 5 dropping like Flys 🪰 :sick:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Antares wrote: Thu Feb 17, 2022 12:13 am We are just too far west on the continent.

Even here in Cranbrook...too far west for a decent winter!
Yeah it appears that way although l thought Revelstoke or Kimberly was the snow hot spot in the Kootenays.
If you move to Halifax the time difference is insane you'll be posting when it's either the middle of the night here or when everyone's at work here.
I would probably pick just on the eastern side of the Rockies in Alberta good upsloping for snowfalls and probably decent Tstorms in the summer Canmore area l suppose.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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