February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Leighbugs wrote: Thu Feb 03, 2022 6:41 am Hey everyone. I've been unwell and MIA. Just had kidney surgery and am home resting so let's hope I will be back to myself again soon. I have been so out of the loop, someone asked me what the weather was going to be the other day and I said, "I don't know." :o :o :o I don't know who was more stunned, me or the person asking! This is simply UNACCEPTABLE and I apologize to the weather community at large as this is a betrayal of the highest order to weather geeks everywhere. ;) I promise henceforth to get my head back in the game. I shall not fail you again. :D :lol:
Get well soon Ms. Bugs. :thumbup: we never fail as weather geeks weather fails us many times as weather geeks.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Fri Feb 04, 2022 4:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Antares wrote: Thu Feb 03, 2022 11:20 pm It's decent and definitely better than Vancouver but it does have a tendency toward being dry in winter. Might need to move lol.
Well Ants 🐜 perhaps locating to a snowier Kootenay town like Revelstoke cant go wrong there. :D
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

:( figures.
weather-network-weather-forecast-western-canada-bc-february-2022.jpg
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert:
Nito..take Thursday off and go to Abby :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
13c and sunny omg Yessssss :clap:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (32).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Feb 04, 2022 7:04 am 00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (32).png
:alert: :alert:
16c?
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 5:03 pm Intense clash of the airmasses in the :14clown: range with a line of freezing rain/ice pellets stretching from the gulf coast up to new england. Would be pretty cool to see if something like this verifies.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_fh354-384.gif
Returning to this post, and the GFS ended up being fairly accurate more than two weeks out! Fluky but score one for the GFS.
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSWPC/statu ... 6770760704
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Feb 04, 2022 7:17 am :alert: :alert:
16c?
Surface temps will likely be much colder than that.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 7236505602
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

More on the mid to long range outlook:
https://mobile.twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy ... 0246081537

https://mobile.twitter.com/DCAreaWx/sta ... 4312472585

At this rate, maybe we see a pattern shift in late Feb/early March with a cold/snowy stretch during that period. :think:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Atmospheric state really reflect a strong +ENSO state despite the SST in the E Pacific. 1999/2000 was noticeable for being a rather temperate winter but the upper pressure anomalies this time around is off the charts El Nino. There was a time where METs and climatologists put a lot of stock in the walker circulation but there's really a lot more factors at play. Models continue to show retrogression in the extended range, but take it with a grain of salt as LR modeling tend to default to the expected climatic state in lower resolution.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Feb 04, 2022 7:20 am :arrow: :arrow: :arrow: Move east!
Yep that's what I'm thinking actually. :think:

More affordable real estate as well. :wave:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I wonder how long it takes this pile of snow to melt? If it was dumped onto a north facing slope could it become a glacier after a few years?

Where does the snow go? This drone-captured photo shows an enormous pile of snow in Toronto following weeks of laborious snow removal after the extreme blizzard that impacted the city in mid- January. More than 80,000 tonnes of snow have been cleared from local streets, bike lanes and
sidewalks, according to the City of Toronto. That equates to the weight of roughly 15,000 elephants or 100,000 cows.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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