February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Well here we go what will our new rodent Okanagan Okie say will this month be a sweetheart for more cold and snow. Or a climo Nito month or will it be as ole Gumps would say weather is like a box of chocolates you never know what you'll get.
All l know is higher sun angles means longer day's and eventually spring.

[SouthSardiswx]

l forgot to put 2022 in the topic line can one of the mods fix chezzy plezzy. thanks.

[Hawk]

Nito.
Looks like our first episode of bommy Feb temps is on the horizon. 12c and sun!!

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (18).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (19).png

[SouthSardiswx]

If l'm reading this correctly the operational and control goes bananas by mid month.
Ants the arctic front is just going through Fernie it's headed your way.

[Typeing3]

Reminder that the February analogues as of last week were 1956, 1971, 1985, 1989, 2011, 2014 and 2018.

FJpLAFLWYAAbjMW.jpeg

At YVR (Average high/average low/total snowfall)
Feb 1956 (4.2c/-1.0c/35.9cm)
Feb 1971 (7.0c/1.1c/32.2cm)
Feb 1985 (6.5c/0.0c/27.3cm)
Feb 1989 (4.6c/-3.0c/21.4cm)
Feb 2011 (6.3c/0.5c/7.0cm)
Feb 2014 (5.6c/-0.5c/23.4cm)
Feb 2018 (6.1c/0.6c/25.8cm)



At YXX (Average high/average low/total snowfall)
Feb 1956 (3.3c/-2.4c/48.6cm)
Feb 1971 (7.2c/0.6c/21.9cm)
Feb 1985 (6.1c/-1.4c/30.6cm)
Feb 1989 (4.6c/-4.0c/22.6cm)
Feb 2011 (6.3c/-0.2c/14.2cm)
Feb 2014 (5.4c/-0.5c/21.8cm)
Feb 2018 (5.9c/0.3c/34.2cm)

[SouthSardiswx]

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_8.png

doesn't really get there slides east.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_64.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Had a brief soft hail shower @ the pond this morning currently plus 3c.
Interesting forecast E.C. has the temp.remaining at or just below freezing on Wednesday for the central valley and Abbotsford l had mentioned in the January thread that modified arctic air would move into the canyon later today.
With some leakage into the central valley looks like E.C. agrees. I'm no Professor predictor Neets but...thank you no applause needed.

[Hawk]

and there it is. EC has 11c and sunny in Abby on Sunday.
Nito..where you at?

[stuffradio]

You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!

[SouthSardiswx]

You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!

Yes Stuffys if the groundhog (Okanagan Okie) sees his shadow tomorrow will the members that went into hibernation re appear.

[Hawk]

You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!

Yes that is true but we were all pumped and excited in December as well. Then once we had the cold a lot kind of had enough I guess. We lost the mega posters Trio of Storm, Cat and Bono

[wetcoast91]

Where is everyone? Tomorrow looks quite snowy for many areas in the Lower Mainland, especially Metro Vancouver. It's going to catch a lot of commuters by surprise.

2-4 cm for many area's by the afternoon before it transitions to drizzle/rain later on in the day. Potentially 5-10cm higher up.

[wetcoast91]

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_8.png
doesn't really get there slides east.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_64.png

Ensembles hinting at a 2019-like setup. Been a few runs now.

[Hawk]

Nm snow Nito. Its Feb now. 12c and sunny on Sunday
Maybe 14c in spots?

Tell em Nito!!!