January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

Yeah but there is still time for it to flip back to the -PNA/-EPO cold pattern. While I'm not confident that it will, it's still a possibility.

Well of course. But it takes time to develop that pattern. We might run out of runway.

I'm now focused on skiing and secondly just some nice days to get some things done. Maybe late Feb will give us a surprise.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Feb 1990 snowstorm repeat!

I actually remember that one! Had moved to Seattle the summer before, and it was one of the first good lowland snow events I got to experience.

It was about four of five years ago that there was a snow event on that same weekend (which is President’s Day down there) in Seattle. Was Vancouver skunked on that event? ISTR it hitting on a Friday or a Saturday and although the roads melted clear where the sun hit them, shaded areas stayed treacherously icy through the entire weekend, which really put the kibosh on my cycling. Highs were below freezing but the sun was pretty strong, hence the partial melting, which reminded me a lot of winters in the mountains of New Mexico.

[Hawk]

?

What does this Hawk mean? U need to move to Sunny and warm Oregon

[Hawk]

Looks like winter has ended. Models have failed. Prolly get a chilly March and April. Plant the lettuces. Cover them... higher sun angles cant be beat. Woo hoo. I love garden veggies

[Hawk]

tell em Nito!!

[Wintergirl]

Looks like winter has ended. Models have failed. Prolly get a chilly March and April. Plant the lettuces. Cover them... higher sun angles cant be beat. Woo hoo. I love garden veggies

It's still winter here, snow covered and 0 degrees, no fog and stars in the sky, cold and crisp!

[Typeing3]

I actually remember that one! Had moved to Seattle the summer before, and it was one of the first good lowland snow events I got to experience.

It was about four of five years ago that there was a snow event on that same weekend (which is President’s Day down there) in Seattle. Was Vancouver skunked on that event? ISTR it hitting on a Friday or a Saturday and although the roads melted clear where the sun hit them, shaded areas stayed treacherously icy through the entire weekend, which really put the kibosh on my cycling. Highs were below freezing but the sun was pretty strong, hence the partial melting, which reminded me a lot of winters in the mountains of New Mexico.

Yeah the 1990 storm hit on Valentine's Day and dropped about 30-50cm over two days across Metro Vancouver.

Are you thinking of February 2014? We had a three day snowfall on the 22nd-23rd-24th (Saturday-Sunday-Monday). Had constant light snow on the weekend with temps around 0-1c which really limited accumulations too especially due to the higher sun angles. I think I only picked up about 5cm over both days here but higher elevations (Mundy Park, Westwood plateau, etc), got about 30cm on the weekend. We did get hit pretty good by Monday (~15-20cm for a three day storm total of ~20-25cm) as temps dipped ever so slightly and snow rates increased. By that time, upper westwood plateau had picked up a storm total of over 50cm, nearing 60cm. Was chaos locally over there (some plows got stuck) with the huge difference between lower elevations and higher elevations.

You could also be thinking of the February 23rd, 2018 (Friday) snowstorm. That was a big one considering most of it fell during the day. We did get a second round of a bit more snow later in the night and early morning on the 24th. Picked up about 30cm here on the 23rd plus a few more cm later that night into the 24th. I think YVR got about 15-20cm total.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

You could also be thinking of the February 23rd, 2018 (Friday) snowstorm. That was a big one considering most of it fell during the day. We did get a second round of a bit more snow later in the night and early morning on the 24th. Picked up about 30cm here on the 23rd plus a few more cm later that night into the 24th. I think YVR got about 15-20cm total.

2018, I think. Not even 10 cm fell on Bainbridge Island, but it did stick around for the weekend due to the temperature.

[tyweather]

Skiing was beautiful above the fog.

[Antares]

Yikes. Not looking so good even here. Wtf happened.

[tyweather]

The GEM says what about me after day 10?

[SouthSardiswx]

The GEM says what about me after day 10?

and yet the GEM yesterday didn't it back off with the cold?

[Typeing3]

Yikes. Not looking so good even here. Wtf happened.

Climo!

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

[SouthSardiswx]

Huh? 06Z GooFuS wants us to have snow followed by chilly air, then more snow. Then a 3rd system in the range.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_37.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_50.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_63.png