January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:58 pm :think: :think:
Screenshot_2022-01-21-12-56-42(1).png
14C and sunny in January with a ridge overhead is about as likely as those -25C 850mb temps verifying :lol:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3758
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4109 times
Been thanked: 8003 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 1:11 pm 14C and sunny in January with a ridge overhead is about as likely as those -25C 850mb temps verifying :lol:
It's just the old Nito bag of tricks, like +0.1°C rain or precip clearing just before temps go below freezing.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2602
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3966 times
Been thanked: 4237 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 11:44 am Agree 100% Kells, l think for the most part we didn't know where it was taking us, but man oh man that blast of winter absolutely took my mind off all the news regarding It. :thumbup:
Just normal get a bit annoyed with sardines spam post sometimes
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 68 times
Been thanked: 3600 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

+10c on Grouse Saturday
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6227
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6166 times
Been thanked: 14158 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 1:11 pm 14C and sunny in January with a ridge overhead is about as likely as those -25C 850mb temps verifying :lol:
Coastal sections of Oregon will be anywhere from +12C to +16C. Of course, our toilet bowl of a climate up here will keep us socked in with clouds and fog.

Image


Tilamook gets lucky.
Image
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6227
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6166 times
Been thanked: 14158 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 1:16 pm It's just the old Nito bag of tricks, like +0.1°C rain or precip clearing just before temps go below freezing.
That did happen quite a few times in Dec and early Jan no?

:thumbup:
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3758
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4109 times
Been thanked: 8003 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:04 pm That did happen quite a few times in Dec and early Jan no?

:thumbup:
Yes, and we're blaming it on you :twisted:
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6227
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6166 times
Been thanked: 14158 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:08 pm Yes, and we're blaming it on you :twisted:
I can only modify the weather here to keep us warm. Someone else is trying to foil my plan.

Image
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9799
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11977 times
Been thanked: 21637 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wow.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:17 pmwow.png
Looking a bit backdoorish on a lot of models currently
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:00 pm Coastal sections of Oregon will be anywhere from +12C to +16C. Of course, our toilet bowl of a climate up here will keep us socked in with clouds and fog.

Image


Tilamook gets lucky.
Image
The Oregon coast likes to get pretty warm when the flow turns offshore. Is it North Bend on the coast that can hit the 20s in winter.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12752
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22221 times
Been thanked: 24612 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:00 pm Coastal sections of Oregon will be anywhere from +12C to +16C. Of course, our toilet bowl of a climate up here will keep us socked in with clouds and fog.

[
Looks like that shows 36-40f here on Sunday. Of course being in part of the low elevation sad lands that could verify. Maybe we get stuck in a stronger inversion and see some freezing fog... All while much of coastal WA and OR break 60f. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12752
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22221 times
Been thanked: 24612 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:31 pm Looking a bit backdoorish on a lot of models currently
Early Feb 2014 repeat. :wave:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12752
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22221 times
Been thanked: 24612 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:34 pm The Oregon coast likes to get pretty warm when the flow turns offshore. Is it North Bend on the coast that can hit the 20s in winter.
That would be Brookings I think.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6697
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 562 times
Been thanked: 11571 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-3868000.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Post Reply