January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

With a pretty healthy Niña continuing it would seem unlikely that the core of the cold would continue to remain in the east. I’d bet those long range models are onto something and we see the cold shift back into western Canada in early February. Too soon to know the details for us but a cold west warm east February seems quite probable
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 11:43 am With a pretty healthy Niña continuing it would seem unlikely that the core of the cold would continue to remain in the east. I’d bet those long range models are onto something and we see the cold shift back into western Canada in early February. Too soon to know the details for us but a cold west warm east February seems quite probable
La Nina almost guarantees a cold west/warm east for Feb/Mar. That almost always verifies.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

The GEPS is now on board.

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#beginningofFEB
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 1:34 pm #beginningofFEB
#somethingisbrewing
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The CFS model continues to show a cold start to February. :chilly: :snowman:
cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-4278400 (1).png
cfs-daily-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-4278400 (1).png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 1:56 pm The CFS model continues to show a cold start to February. :chilly: :snowman:

cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-4278400 (1).png

cfs-daily-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-4278400 (1).png
I like the -15C departure centred right over the LM. That would be impressive.
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 2:17 pm I like the -15C departure centred right over the LM. That would be impressive.
Monty: "It's cold I guess, but not THAT cold."
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 1:34 pm #beginningofFEB
Could be 6 in a row. Quite the streak! :lol:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

As mentioned earlier, during a La Nina there is always a high chance (more likely than a cold Dec or Jan) for a colder than normal February for Western Canada/PNW.
https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 7148606472

https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 4155261954

https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 6593311745
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 1001271297
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Here it comes.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-3781600.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Winning!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Considerable sunshine this weekend. Who else is excited???
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 4:13 pm Considerable sunshine this weekend. Who else is excited???
ME. I CAN GOLF.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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