January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

The CFS is relentless.


cfs-daily-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-4105600.png

CFS = forecasting system.

[PortKells]

CFS = forecasting system.

Ok maybe but when it continuously spits out the same solutions that match what other models are saying then I have to give it some credibility.

[tyweather]

The 0z is delayed for cold.

[SouthSardiswx]

CFS = forecasting system.

Not that the 00Z GFS has totally collapsed its just not as cold l'm sure it will trend colder its the range after all Tfog.

[SouthSardiswx]

The 0z is delayed for cold.

nice, l'm hoping it doesn't keep delaying by mid February is pushing the envelope for something outstanding not saying it can't happen Valentines back in 1990 l believe was spectacular, l was living in Coquitlam Austin heights he got about 25cm to 30cm.

[Typeing3]

nice, l'm hoping it doesn't keep delaying by mid February is pushing the envelope for something outstanding not saying it can't happen Valentines back in 1990 l believe was spectacular, l was living in Coquitlam Austin heights he got about 25cm to 30cm.

The Feb 1990 storm sure was a big one. Totals ranged from 30cm to 50cm across Metro Vancouver on the 14/15th. Had a nice few days of clear weather right after too. Even though upper level temps weren't significantly cold, surface temps really plunged at night due to the deep snowcover.

[Forrest Gump]

Hey how did you change the colour of your username? I like it.

That's the colour you get when you blast through the stratosphere with your 1 millionth post...good luck.

The great Sardinski , you can't stop him , you can only hope to contain him.

[SouthSardiswx]

That's the colour you get when you blast through the stratosphere with your 1 millionth post...good luck.

The great Sardinski , you can't stop him , you can only hope to contain him.

Doesn't seem to work with my snowfall total sir Gumparoni, seems to be slyty skewed.

[SouthSardiswx]

The Feb 1990 storm sure was a big one. Totals ranged from 30cm to 50cm across Metro Vancouver on the 14/15th. Had a nice few days of clear weather right after too. Even though upper level temps weren't significantly cold, surface temps really plunged at night due to the deep snowcover.

Remember the cold snap just before that dump Tridge? I recall it was impressive, didn't we go into an inversion pattern after the dump on Valentines.

[AbbyJr]

Mr. Stuffy bear did ask him to change yours if you want.

Thanks.

[Typeing3]

Remember the cold snap just before that dump Tridge? I recall it was impressive, didn't we go into an inversion pattern after the dump on Valentines.

Wasn't too cold before the snowstorm. There was a prolonged period of cold NW flow and quite a few sloppy snowfalls in the weeks prior (higher elevations like Mundy Park picked up decent accumulations) and temps hovered around freezing for a couple days right before the storm as modified arctic air trickled out to the coast.

Also wasn't a full fledged inversion after the storm. Upper level temps were still cool but temps at the surface were about equal to temps on the north shore mountains for a couple days.

[SouthSardiswx]

Wasn't too cold before the snowstorm. There was a prolonged period of cold NW flow and quite a few sloppy snowfalls in the weeks prior (higher elevations like Mundy Park picked up decent accumulations) and temps hovered around freezing for a couple days right before the storm as modified arctic air trickled out to the coast.

Also wasn't a full fledged inversion after the storm. Upper level temps were still cool but temps at the surface were about equal to temps on the north shore mountains for a couple days.

O.k. yes l remember the slushfests we had prior to, but l thought afew day's before the event we were around -5c or so at night and daytime just below freezing. I do remember the heavy snowfall warning just before Valentines calling for up to 30cm, l was so excited l recall.

[Typeing3]

O.k. yes l remember the slushfests we had prior to, but l thought afew day's before the event we were around -5c or so at night and daytime just below freezing. I do remember the heavy snowfall warning just before Valentines calling for up to 30cm, l was so excited l recall.

Correct. Two days before the event.

Temp and precip data from stations across the region:

YVR: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 90&Month=2#
North Vancouver: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Burnaby Mountain: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... Name=Simon
Port Coquitlam: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Pitt Meadows: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Surrey Guildford: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (14).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (15).png

[SouthSardiswx]

Unless l'm reading this wrong looks more like chilly rain to me.