January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

"I want dry and warm weather!"

Mother Nature: Okay, here's 3 months of no rain and some +40C days mixed in there.

Sign me up for that!

[Typeing3]

Nope , 30° max this year , 35° for the valley.

Too cold!

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/RyanVoutilainen/sta ... 4876621825

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 0101078022

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

10°C at last!

[arbetrader]

I believe April 2011 saw snow on Easter in East Maple Ridge. It didn't really stick though.

YXX has recorded snow in April quite a few times in recent years. 2007, 2008 (trace), 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2020 all had snow in April recorded, most of those years it was even measurable. I'm sure there's a chance this year too

[Typeing3]

YXX has recorded snow in April quite a few times in recent years. 2007, 2008 (trace), 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2020 all had snow in April recorded, most of those years it was even measurable. I'm sure there's a chance this year too

Yep. April snow isn't rare. Measurable snow in April on the other hand is more unusual.

[Coquitlam79]

814prcp.new-4.gif

CPC is on board with the dry spell but there are a couple more systems to get through first. A weakening trailing cold front of the AR tomorrow and a weak run of the mill system Sun/Mon. This type of pattern coming up (amplified/blocking pattern) is not unprecedented for a La Nina. 2000/2001 was a La Nina year and we had nothing but ridge ridge ridge- split flow pattern basically the entire Winter. February is the best bet for a dry month in the Winter no matter what ENSO phase is. We have had February's that have been as dry as a summer month. Such as 1993, 2001, 2005, 2009. Jan/Feb 1993, 2001 and 2009 were extremely ridgy around here. I'm looking right now at 2008/2009. Cold snowy mid-late December 2008 (as we all know) and early January 09 A big AR in early January 09. Then ridge time! Huge pattern shift. 2 months of major ridging and split flow. Then a cold and showery March with some snow. I wouldn't doubt that the more typical La Nina pattern will come back sometime in Feb or March but we could be in for a long West coast ridge extended pattern lock. I'm fine with that we've had nothing but rain and/ or storms since literally September. Plus with La Nina still around I doubt Spring will be balmy.

[Wintergirl]

Still only 2 degrees here, lots of snow still and lots of ice sadly, side roads are brutal to walk on. Fairly certain the snow on ground will stick around for awhile here.

[SouthSardiswx]

I recall there's a way to get temperature readings from locations along the Trans mountain pipeline in towns like Yale, Boston Bar, Spences Bridge etc. Keremeos, towns that don't have an EC or Nav stations anyone aware of this.

[SouthSardiswx]

814prcp.new-4.gifCPC is on board with the dry spell but there are a couple more systems to get through first. A weakening trailing cold front of the AR tomorrow and a weak run of the mill system Sun/Mon. This type of pattern coming up (amplified/blocking pattern) is not unprecedented for a La Nina. 2000/2001 was a La Nina year and we had nothing but ridge ridge ridge- split flow pattern basically the entire Winter. February is the best bet for a dry month in the Winter no matter what ENSO phase is. We have had February's that have been as dry as a summer month. Such as 1993, 2001, 2005, 2009. Jan/Feb 1993, 2001 and 2009 were extremely ridgy around here. I'm looking right now at 2008/2009. Cold snowy mid-late December 2008 (as we all know) and early January 09 A big AR in early January 09. Then ridge time! Huge pattern shift. 2 months of major ridging and split flow. Then a cold and showery March with some snow. I wouldn't doubt that the more typical La Nina pattern will come back sometime in Feb or March but we could be in for a long West coast ridge extended pattern lock. I'm fine with that we've had nothing but rain and/ or storms since literally September. Plus with La Nina still around I doubt Spring will be balmy.

Another outstanding read C79, missed your analysis during the Arctic blast. although so much was going on it was probably difficult to analyze the evolving weather conditions credibility would have been ruined.

[SouthSardiswx]

One time when I moved cities Telus asked me what phone number I wanted, and I said 867-5309.

They informed that I could not have that number for two reasons:
1) I didn't live in Boston Bar
2) They don't give out numbers that were made famous in songs.

you need to join the faltering Gumps/Sardine comedy act Glace.

[SouthSardiswx]

It’s amazing how slow the snow and ice is melting at this rate it will take a month! Hoping for
Some south winds but they don’t seem to come anymore

Patience young man, it took awhile to accumulate so the thaw is just as slow, l'm glad the AR was a bust.

[wetcoast91]

Periodic drizzly weather and some very light rain over the next 10 days. Overall, rather dry by January standards which is good because I got contractors coming to fix my roof which sustained quite a bit of damage from the snow/ice build up. Also noticed some walkway and driveway slabs lifted over the past month.

[tyweather]

GFS back to hinting at some arctic air in the

[PortKells]

Some favourable trends in the LR ensembles

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_dprog-3436000.png