January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Flakey
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Flakey »

Will be glad to get rid of the ice, luckily purchased traction device for my boots so saved me from falling.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 1441794051

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 1979342850

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 5564751875
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Both solutions would be dry for us but the setup on the right would be colder.
https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 0166081555
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 1:59 pm Both solutions would be dry for us but the setup on the right would be colder.
https://twitter.com/commoditywx/status/ ... 0166081555
Will we break the January -10 curse?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

East coast weenies referencing 2013-14 and 2014-15 now. :lol:
There was some top tier cold across the east in both winters.
https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1480544758867140609
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:01 pm Will we break the January -10 curse?
I hope so. Some stats:

18 years (2004) since YVR last hit -10c in January.
20 years (2002) since YVR last had a daily snowfall >20cm in January.
29 years (1993) since YVR last had a monthly mean <1c in January.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

This was a cool very wide screen shot of Vancouver and the snow covered mountains from Dec.

I suggest opening the image in a new window to see it full size.


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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Can't go wrong with dry and mild or dry and cold.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:12 pm Can't go wrong with dry and mild or dry and cold.
Agreed. I just want a prolonged dry spell. Don't care if it's warm or cold.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Winter coming back with a vengeance.
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom_7day-3932800.png
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-3932800.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:25 pm Winter coming back with a vengeance.
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom_7day-3932800.png
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-3932800.png
Retrogression!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:13 pm Agreed. I just want a prolonged dry spell. Don't care if it's warm or cold.
First winter I can remember where I’m hoping for a nice, strong, long-playing ridge.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:59 pm First winter I can remember where I’m hoping for a nice, strong, long-playing ridge.
A good stretch of +4/-4 days as many have suggested. After a stalled low in the strait to start the cold snap, of course. :lol: :lol:

Frosty mornings and sunny afternoons and a bed of snow.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rainfall warning for the Sunshine Coast :thumbdown:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

RGEM total rainfall through 4am Thursday. Past 4 runs trend. Definitely looks drier than earlier runs, but still really wet.
rgem_apcpn_nwus_fh66_trend.gif
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