January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3758
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4109 times
Been thanked: 8003 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Oh Lord I woke up to ZR this is big bad.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

East Chilliwack wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:59 am At what point does freezing rain become ice pellets? It doesn’t really make sense that the rain can fall to far in such low temperatures and remain unfrozen until contact with a surface.
Yes l get what you mean also East Whack man, it's so cold -7c that it seems bizarre for it to be actual rain drops falling at that temperature.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6235
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6176 times
Been thanked: 14172 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

East Chilliwack wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:59 am At what point does freezing rain become ice pellets? It doesn’t really make sense that the rain can fall to far in such low temperatures and remain unfrozen until contact with a surface.
Freezing rain = liquid at time of impact with ground, profile indicates shallow pool of cold air at the surface
Ice pellets = frozen in layer above ground and frozen at impact, indicates a shallow warm layer aloft

Cold is on borrowed time judging by the ZR @ -7C.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:10 am Freezing rain = liquid at time of impact with ground, profile indicates shallow pool of cold air at the surface
Ice pellets = frozen in layer above ground and frozen at impact, indicates a shallow warm layer aloft

Cold is on borrowed time judging by the ZR @ -7C.
So it would be rain drops falling then El Greats, and it would be my coldest ZR event the 2nd would be Mission Dec/17, l recall it was around -4c or -5c
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Macster
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 181
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:19 pm
Location: Eastern Cloverdale
Elevation: 26m/85Ft
Has thanked: 8 times
Been thanked: 498 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Macster »

Measured 16cm when I got home plus a few mm of ice that broke apart as I shoveled it. It’s probably compacted a bunch already and was extremely heavy....

Sitting at -2 still with freezing drizzle
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6235
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6176 times
Been thanked: 14172 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Models have trended away from the dry ridgy period next week. GEM has a wicked AR signal Tuesday-Thursday with some 6-8" of rain. GFS appears to slowly be trending that way. :thumbdown:
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Well Gumps it was a barn burner Wrinkle Rock to Sardine Sardis all night, the cm's were tied then referee John the great called the game due to the fans the only one up Hounddog throwing freezing Sardines on the ice. 15cm fiinal score @ the pond in south Sardis. It's currently stuck @-7c l may have to borrow some of the WD40 to get the temp. moving again.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Abby_wx
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 1516
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Mission City
Elevation: 157m (515ft)
Has thanked: 6938 times
Been thanked: 3948 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

That was the worst snow I've had to drive to work in. Not really deep snow but it's pure ice underneath. No traction on even a slight incline.

Still -6C with light freezing drizzle.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4471
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12477 times
Been thanked: 8212 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:09 am Yes l get what you mean also East Whack man, it's so cold -7c that it seems bizarre for it to be actual rain drops falling at that temperature.
Got 15 cm of new snow
Currently freezing drizzle if anything
Temp -2
DP -3 , I guess it doesn't mean a whole lot when there's warm air aloft

I think during the 96/97 winter I had freezing rain starting at somewhere between -5 to -7 after the last hurrah overrunning event.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:25 am Models have trended away from the dry ridgy period next week. GEM has a wicked AR signal Tuesday-Thursday with some 6-8" of rain. GFS appears to slowly be trending that way. :thumbdown:
As long as it's not 6 to 8" for the fraser valley that would be absolutely insane and devastating and crazy for an AR event like that in January but nothing surprises me anymore. :crazy:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
ClaytonWx
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 4:26 pm
Location: Clayton Heights, Surrey
Elevation: 279ft
Has thanked: 244 times
Been thanked: 219 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by ClaytonWx »

I had an easier commute from Langley to Delta today than yesterday

the icy layer on top of the snow looked reflective and quite beautiful when an untouched area of snow this morning.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:32 am Got 15 cm of new snow
Currently freezing drizzle if anything
Temp -2
DP -3 , I guess it doesn't mean a whole lot when there's warm air aloft

I think during the 96/97 winter I had freezing rain starting at somewhere between -5 to -7 after the last hurrah overrunning event.
:lol: :clap: look at our totals your knocking it out of the old forum this year, even our friends in Abby are doing absolutely fantastic all around if winter ended today it's an A+ in my books.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Lisa0527
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:26 pm
Location: Dunbar at 200 feet
Has thanked: 345 times
Been thanked: 764 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

15 cm and haven’t been outside, but can’t see any rain or freezing rain. Seems to have stopped snowing around 2:30-3:00 here. Radar seems to confirm no rain here. I’m just outside the green.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Always seems a waste having temps so cold to be wasted on freezing liquid but it's mother nature can't change it, l hope it warms above 0c before any heavier precip later but l doubt it.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7022
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12848 times
Been thanked: 6523 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

East Chilliwack wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:56 am This might be some of the coldest freezing rain we’ve had at -7 , ususally its -3 or warmer
I have lived in this area for about eight years and this is by far the worst freezing rain I have seen here and it is still well below zero so I'm not sure when this is going to end in this area :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Post Reply