January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Monty]

It's all snow to start, the only question is how long it holds on. It appears judging by many runs I've seen that the majority of it falls as snow. I'm pretty confident with this one, I think you'll get there eventually

I think there is real potential some one on the south coast push past 30cm

[PortKells]

I think there is real potential some one on the south coast push past 30cm

This should be the biggest since 2017 unless something drastically changes. Of course in snowbelt Shawnigan lake, this would just be another thursday

[PortKells]

****! Nito hacked the GFS

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t850_anom_stream-2291200.png

[stuffradio]

Sure. There has been modelled for at least a day or two. Issue is, there’s times the temps are too warm for snow on either end that GooFuS is still forecasting there to be snow… or at least there were the last time I looked. Have no trouble believing it’s going to snow with that event, the issue is how much of it falls as rain before it cuts over to snow. Maybe I’ll be wrong again.

Graupel shower moving through here.

I have personally had snow falling at 4-6C. It's strange but it happens.

[Typeing3]

Can anyone help identify the area this pic is from. I was searching webcams and found this one but it says it may be from Coquitlam or Abbotsford. Both could be wrong, but someone here might recognize the area.


2022-01-03_142602.jpg

99% sure that is not in Coquitlam. I've never sen that kind of view of the mountains anywhere in the city. The mountains visible to the north here are Eagle Mountain, Coquitlam Mountain, and Burke Mountain. There are a couple others too, but that one in the pic doesn't look like anything I've seen around here.

[tyweather]

Gold River

[Typeing3]

18z GFS. Wednesday 4pm to Thursday 10am

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh54-72.gif

[Typeing3]

18z RGEM shows the potential for some wet snow to mix in with heavier rain showers between 11pm and 7am.

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh13-21.gif

[Typeing3]

18z RGEM. 6pm Wednesday to 10am Thursday

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh56-72.gif

[tyweather]

****! Nito hacked the GFS


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t850_anom_stream-2291200.png

Looks like the cold inversion is off the table. Now a dirty ridge to start and warm and dry afterwards, spring like and no retrogression in the 12z and 18z in the range.
Hopefully this doesn't last long and cold rain returns at least, it's LA Nina, I need my fresh pow on Cypress.

The big snow happens overnight which means not much enjoyment from that one.

[VanCitySouth]

18z RGEM. 6pm Wednesday to 10am Thursday

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh56-72.gif

RGEM has upped the ante. It was the least bullish from my comparisons last night and this morning.

[stuffradio]

Looks like the cold inversion is off the table. Now a dirty ridge to start and warm and dry afterwards, spring like and no retrogression in the 12z and 18z in the range.
Hopefully this doesn't last long and cold rain returns at least, it's LA Nina, I need my fresh pow on Cypress.

The big snow happens overnight which means not much enjoyment from that one.

The ECMWF Weeklies shows the warmup and cool down.

[Bonovox]

https://twitter.com/BCWeather101/status ... 60577?s=20

[Forrest Gump]

18z RGEM shows the potential for some wet snow to mix in with heavier rain showers between 11pm and 7am.
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh13-21.gif

Of course it does , snow only happens during graveyard shift, including this Wed night/Thurs event ,lol . I think the only nice daytime snowfall was on Christmas day.

[VanCitySouth]

Well that's not something you see every day