January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Tuesday night through Wednesday night still looks to be showtime, er snowtime.

Outside that, looks too warm for widespread snow.

Edit: probably 10–20 cm for most areas, if it verifies. Not as insanely snowy as some models were hinting at earlier, but still significant. And Pomoman would almost certainly get more than that.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:55 am Tuesday night through Wednesday night still looks to be showtime, er snowtime.

Outside that, looks too warm for widespread snow.
Not sure
F62E5033-AF35-4016-9467-A63349DA0BEB.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:02 am Not sure

F62E5033-AF35-4016-9467-A63349DA0BEB.png
Holds on a little longer further east but still all over Thursday morning.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:02 am Not sure

F62E5033-AF35-4016-9467-A63349DA0BEB.png
Just to give people some context to this image, the high pressure on the left hand side is the altitude. 950 hPa is about 1773 feet. ~1010 hPa is around sea level.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:09 am Just to give people some context to this image, the high pressure on the left hand side is the altitude. 950 hPa is about 1773 feet. ~1010 hPa is around sea level.
Cool. And thanks for the explanation situation :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 10:39 pm Where abouts? That front has stalled over them. We have been donuted for 2 full days pretty much. Light precip for the most part other than the 4am quick snow dump here. :damn: :damn:
West side near the southern olympics got 2-6” last night. Foot hills east of Puget sound and places that had a little cold outflow got more. Sounds like 6 to 12” near North bend Washington
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:44 am The NBM is bullish on the next snowstorm this week. 15-30cm depending on where you are from Wednesday to Friday.

C09EB787-566C-42CF-AA74-1095DF7C3824.png
Schools closed Thursday, book it.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by smartlikefox »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:44 am Schools closed Thursday, book it.
Does somebody want to break the news or should I?
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

smartlikefox wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:50 am Does somebody want to break the news or should I?
Haha I know that, staff are still getting sent in and my students are coming in because they have special needs.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:55 am Edit: probably 10–20 cm for most areas, if it verifies. Not as insanely snowy as some models were hinting at earlier, but still significant.
I'll believe it when I see it. ;)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:31 am Currently 2.9c, dp 2.3c here.

Lots of melting/compacting of the snow last night. Settled depth is down to only about 5-6cm now.
Went from 15 cm last night to 9 cm this morning.

GEM/EC were right about the short term.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Euro continues to look locked in on the big event Thursday morning
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:20 am Euro continues to look locked in on the big event Thursday morning
I don't see how that one can fall apart.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

The Wednesday night - Thursday morning event looks similar to the Jan 12 -13, 2011 storm: overrunning event with ~20cm of snow with outflow during the snow. I remember that dumping 20cm in Abbotsford in the span of 8 hours.
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