January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

GEPS showing a retrogression signal.

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[Typeing3]

GEPS showing a retrogression signal.

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Would be nice if we can maintain at least some snowcover until then.

[Catnip]

EPS also showing a signal for retrogression, but somewhat slower getting there it seems.

14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom(3).gif

[Roberts Creeker]

42cm for Pitt Meadows

Aren't you luuucky!

[Catnip]

Lastly, the GEFS

GEFS Ensembles North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif

[Typeing3]

This is pretty cool to see
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSSeattle/s ... 3973361668

[Roberts Creeker]

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Beauties. They know how to do winter.

[PortKells]

Good point. When even was our last legit (i.e. 10cm+) overrunning event after an arctic blast? February 2018? And before that ... late Feb 2011?

Pretty pathetic.

We’ve just had an amazing overall event…an overrunning system seems highly useless anyways except to pad snow stats. Getting the snow off the top was far more important IMO.

[PortKells]

Beauties. They know how to do winter.

The fluffy guy has been out for about 30 seconds total. He’s a homebody though. The little one doesn’t really care though, she’s grown a hell of a thick coat.

[Typeing3]

We’ve just had an amazing overall event…an overrunning system seems highly useless anyways except to pad snow stats. Getting the snow off the top was far more important IMO.

I totally agree but overrunning events are supposed to be normal around here. I'd rather come out of an arctic blast with more snow than a quick warmup with mild rain.

[PortKells]

I totally agree but overrunning events are supposed to be normal around here. I'd rather come out of an arctic blast with more snow than a quick warmup with mild rain.

We all want that but we have something even better….a quick warmup followed by a snow storm mid week, followed by a period of ridging leading to more cold according to every long term model.

[wetcoast91]

We’ve just had an amazing overall event…an overrunning system seems highly useless anyways except to pad snow stats. Getting the snow off the top was far more important IMO.

Would have liked to see an AR melt this. The city along with homeowners and businesses have done a horrible job removing the snow. Fresh snow with compact powder isn't bad but I am not looking forward to the rain compacting the snow on the surfaces with a potential freeze and inversion pattern turning side streets, sidewalks and alleys into ice rinks for weeks.

[PortKells]

Would have liked to see an AR melt this. The city along with homeowners and businesses have done a horrible job removing the snow. Fresh snow with compact powder isn't bad but I am not looking forward to the rain compacting the snow on the surfaces with a potential freeze and inversion pattern turning side streets, sidewalks and alleys into ice rinks for weeks.

Oh that’s just standard lower mainland. Every time people tell me snow sucks I hear “ people suck”.

[Typeing3]

We all want that but we have something even better….a quick warmup followed by a snow storm mid week, followed by a period of ridging leading to more cold according to every long term model.

We'll see. EC certainly isn't convinced.

[Hawk]

I totally agree but overrunning events are supposed to be normal around here. I'd rather come out of an arctic blast with more snow than a quick warmup with mild rain.

Both good points