January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:27 am Abby temps will spike like usual due to those S winds.

But what if we get warm snow instead in many areas instead of cold rain. Is that possible Nito? 925s at 1-2c but surface temps cold enough for wet snow still?
ECMWF and GFS both are now programmed that water freezes at +2.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:24 am It will be fine...cool and wet at worst. 925s cool right back Monday..looks like snow right Nito? :x :x
EC still has up to 10cms at "higher levels" in the Vanc forecast thru to Sunday morning..then goes to relatively bommy showers/rain for the next 3 days. :thumbdown: :thumbdown: Seems weird to warm up so much. Not sure what they are looking at. Maybe they are right..or wrong? :think: :think:

Get up Nito we need your analysis here. We know the 925's will be 1-2c. But what about Monday+?

Also, no sign of WP's update is usually not a good thing either :cry: :cry:
No sign of Tyler either on Twitter….
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:30 am ECMWF and GFS both are now programmed that water freezes at +2.
And it rains at -2c. :roll:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Hawk
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:29 am I believe someplace in the interior not that far east gets lots of snow and cold in the winter. One of our posters once told us about it. Can you remember where it was?
haha who said dat? :think:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Yeah , EC has also removed my storm watch warning and replaced it with a wind warning, that sucks , not even an overrunning event. High winds usually translates into much less precipitation, but wind warnings sometimes bust as well.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:37 am No sign of Tyler either on Twitter….
:thumbdown: :thumbdown:
This not good. Looks like Nitos warm foot in the door is causing the temperatures to rise :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
Nito should be awake soon and on here after diaper changes are done :roll:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Huge difference between GEM and GFS... explains a lot.

Look at the difference on Jan 5th!
gem-abbotsford-ca-49n-12.png
gfs-abbotsford-ca-49n-12.png
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

So uhh the 12z GFS snowfall maps for tuesday and wednesday night should be interesting :shock:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:37 am No sign of Tyler either on Twitter….
Tyler's on holiday's John on the island visiting his family.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

LadnerWeather wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 8:13 am So uhh the 12z GFS snowfall maps for tuesday and wednesday night should be interesting :shock:
Why is that?
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:53 am Yeah , EC has also removed my storm watch warning and replaced it with a wind warning, that sucks , not even an overrunning event. High winds usually translates into much less precipitation, but wind warnings sometimes bust as well.
:shock: is it too late to bring back December Gumps, l've got the time tunnel that T4 left behind or are we lost in space on gilligan's island, with a forecast out of the twilight zone.
Perhaps we might have to take a voyage to the bottom of the sea to find out. :crazy:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

GFS says Squamish gets continual snow, heavy at times, for around 48+ hours :shock: :shock:
They probably will! Wintergirl, get the snowblower ready! :wtf:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 7:53 am Yeah , EC has also removed my storm watch warning and replaced it with a wind warning, that sucks , not even an overrunning event. High winds usually translates into much less precipitation, but wind warnings sometimes bust as well.
Are you forfeiting tonight's game? has your forecast come down with Omicron.? appears sick to me. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Abby_wx wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 8:06 am Huge difference between GEM and GFS... explains a lot.

Look at the difference on Jan 5th!
Yeah that explains it, they've even, warmed the central valley to temps. that Victoria was supposed to see this week, not only that Hope has the central valley 's temps. now.
And the winter storm warning reads like something out of a Alfred Hitchcock novel. :crazy:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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