December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
East Chilliwack
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 316
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 pm
Location: East chilliwack
Has thanked: 828 times
Been thanked: 1216 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

John wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:19 am https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 9560000515

Close but no cigar says Mark Madryga
His map doesn’t make 100 percent cents. I would expect hope to hold onto the snow a lot longer as usually happens.
Eastern hillsides chilliwack.
Elevation 880 ft
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5094
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 4754 times
Been thanked: 7100 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

For sea level areas (Richmond, Twas) I do believe next week will be very borderline for us. I do think this week was our score.

As for tomorrow? I think we will see a bit of snow for sure but I do definitely see a changeover of rain for us. I don’t expect a lot down here at sea level this weekend so definitely will enjoy today.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
East Chilliwack
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 316
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 pm
Location: East chilliwack
Has thanked: 828 times
Been thanked: 1216 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

-12.1 this morning
Eastern hillsides chilliwack.
Elevation 880 ft
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 808
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 33 times
Been thanked: 1517 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

This system coming down has to bring cold with it as the modelled airmass is too warm. Times like these, don’t rely on fake lowland cold temps, use the 500m temps at least. If the air is stable then definitely don’t rely on it. YVR at -10 doesn’t mean much when inland areas are much warmer.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 0cm
East Chilliwack
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 316
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 pm
Location: East chilliwack
Has thanked: 828 times
Been thanked: 1216 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

Radar wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:00 am This system coming down has to bring cold with it as the modelled airmass is too warm. Times like these, don’t rely on fake lowland cold temps, use the 500m temps at least. If the air is stable then definitely don’t rely on it. YVR at -10 doesn’t mean much when inland areas are much warmer.
I agree, 3:1 chance it warms up, but for how long, and with what precip intensity will be key.
Eastern hillsides chilliwack.
Elevation 880 ft
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2599
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3964 times
Been thanked: 4233 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

East Chilliwack wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:06 am I agree, 3:1 chance it warms up, but for how long, and with what precip intensity will be key.
It will only warm up in the East Valley if a southwest wind picks up otherwise will easily hang onto our cold
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4569
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28782 times
Been thanked: 9771 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Current: -10.5
DP: -12
Clear

Yes! Scored another -10! :thumbup:
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4569
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28782 times
Been thanked: 9771 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Wow, looks like that ferry is gonna have a hard time getting over the Fraser!

984.jpg
986.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7011
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12802 times
Been thanked: 6505 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:12 am It will only warm up in the East Valley if a southwest wind picks up otherwise will easily hang onto our cold
Tell em John. They obviously havent read the book enough times!! :lol: :lol:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

East Chilliwack wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:58 am His map doesn’t make 100 percent cents. I would expect hope to hold onto the snow a lot longer as usually happens.
The map is a computer model generation. And the models like to scour the cold too quickly especially from the eastern valley
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6208
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6160 times
Been thanked: 14133 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:19 am The map is a computer model generation. And the models like to scour the cold too quickly especially from the eastern valley


THINK ANAFRONT SNOW FOR SEATTLE!!!! +5C rain for metro van! :think:
Image
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Woke up to fresh snow this morning. Looks like a couple Cms overnight when the NE wind reached the island
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:20 am THINK ANAFRONT SNOW FOR SEATTLE!!!! +5C rain for metro van! :think:
Image
Gfs has been insisting on that scenario. Could be snow other places if the front slows down sooner
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7011
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12802 times
Been thanked: 6505 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Even the rainy GFS isnt showing the rain hit the eastern valley at all...all snow for you John :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6587
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2397 times
Been thanked: 11312 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Post Reply