December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:34 am Just under 13 cm here.

That system seemed to usher in some warmer air, it's much milder -3.7C
It will get above freezing today!
:blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

There will be a new ECMWF Weeklies update today and new Seasonal data on Saturday! Currently all models are basically suggesting a normal or below normal Winter and Spring which is quite the difference from last year! I wonder if we will have a benign fire/smoke season this Summer?
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LynnValley »

Measured 12 cm that fell overnight in Lynn valley
Total 18cm on ground at my place! Bring on the 20-40cm!!
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:38 am It will get above freezing today!
:blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor:
In Seattle? How much snow Nito?

Go and take the kid out and build a ⛄️. C'MON
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

20211230_094320.jpg
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:39 am There will be a new ECMWF Weeklies update today and new Seasonal data on Saturday! Currently all models are basically suggesting a normal or below normal Winter and Spring which is quite the difference from last year! I wonder if we will have a benign fire/smoke season this Summer?
My current thinking is nothing that happens before summer matters in terms of fires. 2-3 days of extreme heat is all you need.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Just measure 19 cm.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:35 am I measured at about 6:30 am, so pretty sure I got a reasonably accurate reading. Was a nice surprise to wake up with about 15 cm more than I went to bed with.
Yeah given I had an inch of compacting in 3 hours I'm sure you did okay measuring at 6:30
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

EC data being super sus again. That makes no sense whatsoever.

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 1249905673
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Euro trend.
ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh24_trend.gif
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

That decrease from 6 to 2 at YVR in the middle of a snow event makes no sense whatsoever. They got at least 14 cm. (Hasn’t a poster in Richmond reported 15?)
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HughCorne »

Just an absolutely gorgeous day :)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by walthz »

~20cm overnight? (hedge at right is 24' for scale - yes I know I should cut it...)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:57 am That decrease from 6 to 2 at YVR in the middle of a snow event makes no sense whatsoever. They got at least 14 cm. (Hasn’t a poster in Richmond reported 15?)
Doyle just tweeted that YVR got 19
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 7542647809
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

so an average of 15 cm fell here, BUT, that is only an average since the wind created multiple depths of snow. So I took 4 different measurements and averaged them. Accuracy is in doubt...
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