December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

12z ICON
10pm Wednesday thru 10pm Thursday

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh90-114.gif

[Typeing3]

It might warm up to -2ËšC at the surface before the next reload! BUST!

Those are 850mb temps.

[SouthSardiswx]

It might warm up to -2ËšC at the surface before the next reload! BUST!

Goof jk

[Typeing3]

Hopefully that trough moves closer to the coast and the block holds up better like the GEM shows. Looks like block is about to get undercut on the Euro

The GEM looked great. Who knows, maybe it'll lead the way.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS
10pm Wednesday thru 10pm Thursday

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh90-114.gif

[Typeing3]

12z GEM
4pm Wednesday thru 4pm Thursday

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh84-108.gif

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Those are 850mb temps.

Yeah, but we're well north of the 0ËšC isotherm. I see EC has +1 by New Years. Good Lord, this torching is even worse than I thought. /sarc

[SouthSardiswx]

The GEM looked great. Who knows, maybe it'll lead the way.

Ah l'm just joking this event just started 24 hours ago not worried whatever happens in a week happens.
All the many times of disappointment l'm thoroughly enjoying this especially during the holiday's couldn't have scripted any better.

[AbbyJr]

Blizzard conditions here with blowing snow. Currently -11C. Last night I measured 12.7 cm of snow.

[Typeing3]

Yeah, but we're well north of the 0ËšC isotherm. I see EC has +1 by New Years. Good Lord, this torching is even worse than I thought. /sarc

As a certain member here likes to remind us...

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[Flakey]

There really wasn’t any good reason to suspect the widespread 20–30 cm many maps showed. Initially that was because of temperature being marginal for much of the event, but that turned out to be the right expectation for the wrong reason. There just wasn’t enough moisture. At least we headed into a cold snap with a blanket of white, which is a win in my book. It really looks like there will be more chances later.

We have to remember it is very hard for even pro Mets to predict snow totals in this region due to so many micro climates. Not a big deal with rain but we freak out when predictions are off with snow.

[Typeing3]

12z JMA!

jma_T850_us_6.png

[SouthSardiswx]

12z GFS

Huh, looks identical what's the difference?

[wetcoast91]

ecmwf_T850_nwus_8.png
ecmwf_T850_nwus_9.png

Close margins...we could see a massive AR pattern if that trough carves more offshore!!







Of course we could end up in the icebox if everything goes a few notches east.

[Typeing3]

Close margins...we could see a massive AR pattern if that trough carves more offshore!!







Of course we could end up in the icebox if everything goes a few notches east.

So... will the GEM lead the way

Or

Will the ECMWF lead the way