Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

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Typeing3
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Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

September is finally here! Many of our local peaks will begin seeing their first snow heading into October.

Down here in the lowlands, we've had a string of very good Februaries recently. However, the big question for cold and snow lovers in our region is...will January finally produce for the first time since 1993?
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:56 pm September is finally here! Many of our local peaks will begin seeing their first snow heading into October.

Down here in the lowlands, we've had a string of very good Februaries recently. However, the big question for cold and snow lovers in our region is...will January finally produce for the first time since 1993?
I have a feeling yes
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Some analogues of cool neutral ENSO coupled with low solar conditions. Pretty decent signal overall for a cold winter for the western 2/3rds of the continent.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:54 am Some analogues of cool neutral ENSO coupled with low solar conditions. Pretty decent signal overall for a cold winter for the western 2/3rds of the continent.
Not much to go off of if we narrow it down to the most recent 50 year. 2016-17 was a weak nina.

1993-94 was a pretty meh winter and January torched

1996-97 was really good.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 9:50 am Not much to go off of if we narrow it down to the most recent 50 year. 2016-17 was a weak nina.

1993-94 was a pretty meh winter and January torched

1996-97 was really good.
1992-93 could be added to the list as well...it's on the fence as solar was low but not as low as it is currently.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

08BD1DBE-E33B-453E-90C4-79038F1CF8D4.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 3:44 pm 08BD1DBE-E33B-453E-90C4-79038F1CF8D4.jpeg
Warm Alaska and cold western US. Not terrible. These temp anomaly maps are usually warm biased. Hard to believe that much of the continent being warm.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

September updates of a couple long range models don't look particularly encouraging...
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: ↑Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:10 pm I have a feeling yes
That's awesome Johnny at your age you still have feelings. :lol:
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 09, 2019 10:34 am September updates of a couple long range models don't look particularly encouraging...
Yeah it figures saw this last year and look how feb. turned out, I'll wait it out before making a prediction after all I don't want to cancel winter in Sep. :wtf: where's Nito he missed the Spooktacular light show on Saturday night.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:01 am Yeah it figures saw this last year and look how feb. turned out, I'll wait it out before making a prediction after all I don't want to cancel winter in Sep. :wtf: where's Nito he missed the Spooktacular light show on Saturday night.
He is drafting his annual winter cancel announcement.
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 11:14 am He is drafting his annual winter cancel announcement.
Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
I see he sent you a copy of the rough draft.

:lol: :clap:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
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Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
Don't forget about those +18C temps scattered thru the winter as well. :lol:
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