Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12653
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

September is finally here! Many of our local peaks will begin seeing their first snow heading into October.

Down here in the lowlands, we've had a string of very good Februaries recently. However, the big question for cold and snow lovers in our region is...will January finally produce for the first time since 1993?
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2591
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3944 times
Been thanked: 4219 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:56 pm September is finally here! Many of our local peaks will begin seeing their first snow heading into October.

Down here in the lowlands, we've had a string of very good Februaries recently. However, the big question for cold and snow lovers in our region is...will January finally produce for the first time since 1993?
I have a feeling yes
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12653
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Some analogues of cool neutral ENSO coupled with low solar conditions. Pretty decent signal overall for a cold winter for the western 2/3rds of the continent.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:54 am Some analogues of cool neutral ENSO coupled with low solar conditions. Pretty decent signal overall for a cold winter for the western 2/3rds of the continent.
Not much to go off of if we narrow it down to the most recent 50 year. 2016-17 was a weak nina.

1993-94 was a pretty meh winter and January torched

1996-97 was really good.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12653
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 9:50 am Not much to go off of if we narrow it down to the most recent 50 year. 2016-17 was a weak nina.

1993-94 was a pretty meh winter and January torched

1996-97 was really good.
1992-93 could be added to the list as well...it's on the fence as solar was low but not as low as it is currently.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

08BD1DBE-E33B-453E-90C4-79038F1CF8D4.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 3:44 pm 08BD1DBE-E33B-453E-90C4-79038F1CF8D4.jpeg
Warm Alaska and cold western US. Not terrible. These temp anomaly maps are usually warm biased. Hard to believe that much of the continent being warm.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12653
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

September updates of a couple long range models don't look particularly encouraging...
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19508
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53160 times
Been thanked: 16676 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: ↑Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:10 pm I have a feeling yes
That's awesome Johnny at your age you still have feelings. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19508
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53160 times
Been thanked: 16676 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 09, 2019 10:34 am September updates of a couple long range models don't look particularly encouraging...
Yeah it figures saw this last year and look how feb. turned out, I'll wait it out before making a prediction after all I don't want to cancel winter in Sep. :wtf: where's Nito he missed the Spooktacular light show on Saturday night.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:01 am Yeah it figures saw this last year and look how feb. turned out, I'll wait it out before making a prediction after all I don't want to cancel winter in Sep. :wtf: where's Nito he missed the Spooktacular light show on Saturday night.
He is drafting his annual winter cancel announcement.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 11:14 am He is drafting his annual winter cancel announcement.
Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
I see he sent you a copy of the rough draft.

:lol: :clap:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10313 times
Been thanked: 10079 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
:lol: :lol: :clap: :clap:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12653
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:23 pm Warming ENSO. Blob. Climate change. Warm to start. Trending warmer later. Lots of ARs. Hopefully no one bought a seasons pass for the local hills as ski season will be short to non existent.
Don't forget about those +18C temps scattered thru the winter as well. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”