August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Some unexpected rain right now on the North Shore.

Back at home after a stupidly annoying week at work.

Antler man you need a vacation before summer is toast for good, Wethorse doesn't cut it.

[SouthSardiswx]

29.99 for a roasted chicken? Get bent!
Nice to see all the greenery has been watered. Even though it hasn't been a scorching hot summer, it's been relatively dry.

Gumps got hosed by a roasted chicken.

[Monty]

Picked up 3.8mm of rainfall out here in Sardis today and once the sun came out got up to 20.5c my readings seem accurate which is fantastic! I've checked my temp reading against my north facing thermometer and my rain guage against my manual gauge.

Nice. Looks good and is accurate.

[SouthSardiswx]

Looking at the mean temps, this August is running slightly warmer than August of last year.

I would have thought last August would have been warmer by far is that do to the mild overnight low's this August Mr. M?

[SouthSardiswx]

Perfect weather for running...

Isn't that the 159 Laurentian bus map?

[SouthSardiswx]

Kinda crappy summer for sun lovers. But I will take it. Hot sunny and relentless dry spells is not wetcoast weather. The mixed bag summer knocked down the temps nicely. Yessss.

Yeah Hawkeye good weather for you to get drinks from puddles.

[SouthSardiswx]

Garbage as usual, throw darts is the best forecast this summer.

[Hawk]

Yes remember the models calling for a hot dry summer lol. It's been cool cloudy and rainy many days

[Mattman]

Thanks, Canada Goose, for the autumn prognostication from Acuweather. The main issue that jumps out to me is they’re still clinging to forest fires. No offence to Brett Anderson, but is he not aware of the rising relative humidity with cooler nights and cooler mornings as we go into September? Even if it is an Indian Summer (i.e. September 2011), the fire season even in the southern interior is over. If there’s no large, out-of-control fires at the end of August, that’s it for the fire season. These forecasts would be more palatable if they would admit this fire season was underwhelming. The only smoke would be from California once the Diablo winds start, or from slash burning up here in November.

Saw this a while ago from Michael Ventrice. Although it is deep, deep into the clown range, that looks Nina-ish.

[Monty]

I would have thought last August would have been warmer by far is that do to the mild overnight low's this August Mr. M?

For YXX

August 2019 to date

High 24.9
Low. 13.8
Mean 19.4

August 2018

High 25.8
Low 12.5
Mean 19.2

So yes the warmth this year has been in the overnight temps.

[Monty]

Thanks, Canada Goose, for the autumn prognostication from Acuweather. The main issue that jumps out to me is they’re still clinging to forest fires. No offence to Brett Anderson, but is he not aware of the rising relative humidity with cooler nights and cooler mornings as we go into September? Even if it is an Indian Summer (i.e. September 2011), the fire season even in the southern interior is over. If there’s no large, out-of-control fires at the end of August, that’s it for the fire season. These forecasts would be more palatable if they would admit this fire season was underwhelming. The only smoke would be from California once the Diablo winds start, or from slash burning up here in November.

Saw this a while ago from Michael Ventrice. Although it is deep, deep into the clown range, that looks Nina-ish.

We occasionally see the fire season extended in Washington and Oregon but I agree it should be largely over for BC. The nightly humidity recovery really limits fire behaviour

[Abby_wx]

Yes remember the models calling for a hot dry summer lol. It's been cool cloudy and rainy many days

Still warmer and drier than normal... which shows us the danger of subjective interpretations. Recent years become normalized and we forget what is actually normal.

[Monty]

Still warmer and drier than normal... which shows us the danger of subjective interpretations. Recent years become normalized and we forget what is actually normal.

I definitely see this a lot just talking to people who aren’t really into following the weather as well. One of my customers yesterday was telling me how her garden wasn’t doing well this year because it had been so cloudy and cool.

[Monty]

Models have backed way off on the amount of offshore flow this week. Looks warm but not overly hot. Some hints of convection around Thursday, mostly focussed to our south as usual

[Bonovox]

Fortunately the 12z ensembles show the heat being short lived a return to a cooler and perhaps troughier pattern.