August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Heat misers are going to be loving tonight’s GFS. Low cuts off offshore next week and pumps a big heat ridge up into BC.

I was just going to say. A much improved GFS run compared with the disastrous 18z!

[Typeing3]

[AbbyJr]

Clowns are back? But I hope it verifies.

[Monty]

50C in Northern California seems a bit much.

[Monty]

I was just going to say. A much improved GFS run compared with the disastrous 18z!

I wouldn’t say the 18z was disastrous. Seeing the trough dig sharply into Alberta like that is often a recipe for offshore flow here and in August and September that usually means warm and dry.

[Typeing3]

I wouldn’t say the 18z was disastrous. Seeing the trough dig sharply into Alberta like that is often a recipe for offshore flow here and in August and September that usually means warm and dry.

That's true. Would have lead to some chilly nights too.

Could have seen snow showers in Calgary with that trough. Pretty crazy stuff for late August

[Bonovox]

Heat misers are going to be loving tonight’s GFS. Low cuts off offshore next week and pumps a big heat ridge up into BC.

Ensemble still looks good for those who aren’t. Pretty seasonable temperature wise.

[Coquitlam79]

Yoda would say "One model run does not a weather forecast make" Lets see a few more runs first. Whenever the models do a complete 180(especially the GFS) I'm skeptical. The 06z is already showing less heat..

[Canada Goose]

[Monty]

Yoda would say "One model run does not a weather forecast make" Lets see a few more runs first. Whenever the models do a complete 180(especially the GFS) I'm skeptical. The 06z is already showing less heat..

12z also looking cooler

[Abby_wx]

This morning's temps seem to be running 1-4C cooler than yesterday around the Lower Mainland.

The forecast of 32C out here looks questionable... YXX only hit 30.6C yesterday, and as of 10 am they are running 3.9C cooler than yesterday. I would say a high of 28-29C seems like a fair estimate.

Vancouver's forecast high of 25C is more realistic. They are only 0.9C off yesterday's pace, so they could make up some ground this afternoon. Areas near the strait often don't cool down as quickly as inland areas.

Compared to yesterday, White Rock is -3.1C, Pitt Meadows -0.9C, Agassiz -2.3C (based on 10 am readings).

[Typeing3]

I wouldn't put too much stock into that forecast; they've failed their summer forecast miserably up till now.

[AbbyJr]

I wouldn't put too much stock into that forecast; they've failed their summer forecast miserably up till now.

Yeah Brett Anderson of AccuWeather went all in on an active forest fire season with record breaking drought and heat in BC.

Clearly that forecast was a bust. The last time I recall his seasonal forecasted busted so miserably was when he said the winter of 2011/2012 would be the coldest in decades for Western Canada. It was a bit colder than normal but nothing compared to what he was actually predicting.

[Glacier]

Yeah Brett Anderson of AccuWeather went all in on an active forest fire season with record breaking drought and heat in BC.

Clearly that forecast was a bust. The last time I recall his seasonal forecasted busted so miserably was when he said the winter of 2011/2012 would be the coldest in decades for Western Canada. It was a bit colder than normal but nothing compared to what he was actually predicting.

Last month was the WARMEST July on record in Tofino. Hard to believe, but true.

[John]

^^he's back