December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:10 am GEM is bad too, has well over a foot by the end of the run. Similar to GFS colder.
Pretty similar on Monday too.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7012
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12807 times
Been thanked: 6507 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:44 am I got like 1-3 cm of snow last year so this would be a massive 100% win.
Thats actually quite embarrassing :cry: :cry:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Top
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1594
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 68 times
Been thanked: 3593 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:34 am gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-9105200.png
Maybe the GFS really is measured in cm and not inches. Then it is similar to the icon.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monday morning will be interesting as per the 12Z GFS. Surface temperatures around +2c, 925mb temperatures -1c to -2c and a northeast wind.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9784
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11966 times
Been thanked: 21618 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:21 am Monday morning will be interesting as per the 12Z GFS. Surface temperatures around +2c, 925mb temperatures -1c to -2c and a northeast wind.
Heavier precip rates would do it.

:think: :think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5320
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4377 times
Been thanked: 10679 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:23 am Heavier precip rates would do it.

:think: :think:
NE wind would be downslope off the Coast Mountains, which would work against heavier rates, wouldn’t it?
It's called clown range for a reason.
Top
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4569
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28794 times
Been thanked: 9771 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

From yesterday:

Image

Image
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Top
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6210
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6160 times
Been thanked: 14133 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:32 am NE wind would be downslope off the Coast Mountains, which would work against heavier rates, wouldn’t it?
Not quite. There is no dry colder air or pressure gradient to really bring that element into play. The low to mid level will be nearly saturated. We may see a NE wind but it will be lighter once precip falls.
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:23 am Heavier precip rates would do it.

:think: :think:
Yeah, I think precip type is going to depend a lot on intensity.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

It's okay, the 12Z Euro is going to jump on board #teamsnow and all will be fine.





I hope.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2599
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3964 times
Been thanked: 4233 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

To early for snow Abby east. Need to dry out first. Hopefully gfs is wrong :thumbdown:
Top
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5094
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 4754 times
Been thanked: 7100 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

This is going to be a nowcast bite your nails type event. Maybe a degree to warm like usual? Maybe right in the sweet spot. Good news is we still have time on our side 4 days out. Bad news is we still have time on our side :lol:

I expect rain in Richmond but if I see a snowflake I will crack a beer and be amazed.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:53 am This is going to be a nowcast bite your nails type event. Maybe a degree to warm like usual? Maybe right in the sweet spot. Good news is we still have time on our side 4 days out. Bad news is we still have time on our side :lol:

I expect rain in Richmond but if I see a snowflake I will crack a beer and be amazed.
Catnip man and Pomoman will probably do well. The rest of us will have to wait and see. :shock:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9784
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11966 times
Been thanked: 21618 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:55 am Catnip man and Pomoman will probably do well. The rest of us will have to wait and see. :shock:
Thankfully we are entering this pattern in December and not Feb or March. Better odds for something at sea-level this time of year.

Additionally, if this round doesn't work out for everyone, we are still very early in the season. I do believe everyone will be happy this winter. Just a gut feeling.

:dunno:

:wish:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6210
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6160 times
Been thanked: 14133 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:55 am Catnip man and Pomoman will probably do well. The rest of us will have to wait and see. :shock:
100m areas in Maple Ridge, Surrey, North Delta, North Van, Coquitlam and Burnaby should do well.

South Surrey, Vancouver, Richmond and E Valley make see lighter precip with the trajectory of the low.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”