November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wow the gfs ensemble was really good after 300 hours.


3C2A5202-9542-42C3-BDD4-818A5C9FA77B.gif
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 4:09 pm For comparison... could you post those maps for the RGEM, GFS and ECMWF?
All maps are from Tuesday 10 AM to Wednesday 10 AM.
icon-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png
rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png
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Weather101
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 3:46 pm :lol:

Still lots of time for models to say ah f it… let’s throw in another AR or two just for fun.
I expect nothing less
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Canada Goose
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 5911384066
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 4:54 pm All maps are from Tuesday 10 AM to Wednesday 10 AM.

icon-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8381600.png
Thanks.

So GFS = best case scenario and ICON = worst case scenario.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 5:06 pm Thanks.

So GFS = best case scenario and ICON = worst case scenario.
No problem. :thumbup:

Here are the ensembles:
cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf_24-8100800.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_qpf_24-8100800.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf_24-8122400.png
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Central Abbotsford
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://twitter.com/ty_olsen/status/1465104419494641664
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://twitter.com/portmoodypigeon/sta ... 6808806404
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 08738?s=20
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:think: :think:
hrrr-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-8316800.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 6:22 pm :think: :think:

hrrr-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-8316800.png
That’s…not too bad?
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Every AR event moving forward this year will receive this picture
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 7:18 pm Every AR event moving forward this year will receive this picture
I wouldn't say that Hope is dead, it's just flooded :roll:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vn0d-6UeGSE&t=80s
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=myUxdcUQCMw
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