November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Coquitlam79
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

On a positive note the AR for Tuesday looks weaker/further North.
95ep48iwbg_fill.gif
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:34 pm This is looking more like November 1990 with the double hit from separate significant AR events. The data from Hope shows that well.
There was quite the prolonged arctic blast in December 1990. It was a very snowy one for Seattle. How did Vancouver do?
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:40 pm There was quite the prolonged arctic blast in 1990. It was a very snowy one for Seattle. How did Vancouver do?
Very snowy Dec 1990.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:36 pm On a positive note the AR for Tuesday looks weaker/further North. 95ep48iwbg_fill.gif
To early to say
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:40 pm Very snowy Dec 1990.
Dec. 1990: 52.2 cm
Jan. 1991: 46.4 cm
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Storm wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:14 pm Not good.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_10.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_11.png
What kind of precip totals?
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:40 pm Very snowy Dec 1990.
There’s enough times there’s been analogues with 1990 and 2008 this autumn that it really makes me think this winter has better than average odds of being very snowy (say, in the snowiest 10%).
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I'm at 46.7 mm for the day. I doubt I'll see much more today, if any as the radar indicates the main band of moisture has moved out.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:40 pm Very snowy Dec 1990.
l recall Christmas day 1990 we had snow on the ground.
I was living up on Austin heights in Coquitlam.
I recall abit of freezing rain that day and then the Arctic hammer dropped couple day's before New Years.
We had a snowfall event around Dec19th l believe it was kinda slushy, l think we had Arctic air slide in around Dec 10th or so.
Another good snowfall event around the 9th of Jan/91, l remember heavy snow.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:46 pmTo early to say
How much for Chilliwack John?
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:40 pm There was quite the prolonged arctic blast in December 1990. It was a very snowy one for Seattle. How did Vancouver do?
We had a few days of wet snow Dec 14-16th before the arctic air blasted through on the 17th with flurries. Cold and sunny alternating with more flurries for the next few days.

Slight warmup around Christmas with showers/freezing rain/wet snow followed by another significant push of arctic air and a significant snowstorm on the 29th/30th with 30-60cm across the mainland.

Warmed up with a few showers for a few days after but didn't melt a lot of snow on the ground. Another push of arctic air on Jan 4th, followed by another snowstorm on the 7th/8th that dropped 20-50cm across the mainland.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:09 pm We had a few days of wet snow Dec 14-16th before the arctic air blasted through on the 17th with flurries. Cold and sunny alternating with more flurries for the next few days.

Slight warmup around Christmas with showers/freezing rain/wet snow followed by another significant push of arctic air and a significant snowstorm on the 29th/30th with 30-60cm across the mainland.

Warmed up with a few showers for a few days after but didn't melt a lot of snow on the ground. Another push of arctic air on Jan 4th, followed by another snowstorm on the 7th/8th that dropped 20-50cm across the mainland.
Nice that was a classic and for the holiday's as well,
Pavel Bures first season as well.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Ensembles do a 180 and suddenly this appears.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1637884800-1638684000-1638813600-40.gif
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Last edited by PortKells on Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Looks like I’ll finish with 30.6 mm for the day.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:38 pm Ensembles do a 180 and suddenly this appears.
Not bad. Need that ridge to be further east and amplify, but it is nice to see rising heights start to push into Alaska.
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