November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Abby_wx]

At face value that would be another 300-350mm by months end for the rain gauge in northeast Coquitlam. Monthly total would end up around 550mm. Wet!

Even for YXX it could be a 400 mm monthly total. Been a few years since we had one of those.

[Typeing3]

18z HRDPS total rainfall thru Monday 10am.

hrdps_apcpn_nwus_48.png

[Monty]

I wouldn’t be surprised if one of the favoured upslope stations around the lower mainland ends up with 200mm by Monday. This thing is looking juicy.

[Monty]

Even for YXX it could be a 400 mm monthly total. Been a few years since we had one of those.

January 2020? Shawnigan lake went well over 400mm that month. Which is very rare.

[Typeing3]

January 2020? Shawnigan lake went well over 400mm that month. Which is very rare.

We've sure had plenty of November-like Januaries in recent times. Mild and extremely wet.

[Typeing3]

I wouldn’t be surprised if one of the favoured upslope stations around the lower mainland ends up with 200mm by Monday. This thing is looking juicy.

Seems like there's more of a westerly component to this AR event, at least to start. Hence why the valley is likely gonna get slammed.

[Abby_wx]

January 2020? Shawnigan lake went well over 400mm that month. Which is very rare.

360 mm that month. I think the storm track was a bit further south that month.

[tyweather]

I am pleasantly surprised to see snow falling on the local mountains currently. Looks like 5 cm so far. I was expecting all rain.

[PortKells]

I am pleasantly surprised to see snow falling on the local mountains currently. Looks like 5 cm so far. I was expecting all rain.

Switchover soon I'm guessing, but hey we'll take it.

[Weather101]

Was at Trout Lake this afternoon and only about 25% of the south ballfield was a total quagmire! And my feet never sank deeper than about 10 cm into the lawn. Will these parched conditions never end?!?

By Tuesday it’s a ocean

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Aaaand it’s going to be Kensington. Just signed a lease on a laneway house near 33rd and Knight, about 90 m elevation.

More than just the periphery, according to the map you posted earlier. I marked 33rd and Knight with a red dot. Kensington Community Centre is at a little over 100 m elevation. I’m cautiously optimistic about it being a better-than-average spot for snow, as locations in the city go.

33knight.png

[Weather101]

More than just the periphery, according to the map you posted earlier. I marked 33rd and Knight with a red dot. Kensington Community Centre is at a little over 100 m elevation. I’m cautiously optimistic about it being a better-than-average spot for snow, as locations in the city go.

33knight.png

It’s pretty decent

[Typeing3]

More than just the periphery, according to the map you posted earlier. I marked 33rd and Knight with a red dot. Kensington Community Centre is at a little over 100 m elevation. I’m cautiously optimistic about it being a better-than-average spot for snow, as locations in the city go.

33knight.png

Ah yeah, that's true.

I'd say the annual average for that area is about 45-50cm. Downtown is probably in the 30-35cm range.

[Canada Goose]

At face value that would be another 300-350mm by months end for the rain gauge in northeast Coquitlam. Monthly total would end up around 550mm. Wet!

November record (since 2014 only) is 608.8 mm. It would have been much more in 1990, 1995, 2006 and 2009.
Potentially, we can have a month above 800 mm in Coquitlam.

BTW...

https://twitter.com/bhensonweather/stat ... 9325778944

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Ah yeah, that's true.

I'd say the annual average for that area is about 45-50cm. Downtown is probably in the 30-35cm range.

I’ve lived in snow zones before. Hopefully I get to relive some old memories. We shall see. Some year, this string of losing winters for Vancouver has to end.