November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Weather101]

And the A.R. forums are going absolutely bananas the words and numbers tossed around are epic and 1985.

Toxic forum. Toxic behaviour. They do it to themselves every year. Then they blame each other lmao it’s really unbelievable how they keep it up.

[Catnip]

Toxic forum. Toxic behaviour. They do it to themselves every year. Then they blame each other lmao it’s really unbelievable how they keep it up.

Same script every year.

[Catnip]

cfs_z500_anom_20E_northamerica_2021110906_181.png

[wetcoast91]

cfs_z500_anom_20E_northamerica_2021110906_181.png

Wet.

[AbbyJr]

And the A.R. forums are going absolutely bananas the words and numbers tossed around are epic and 1985.

November 1985?

There has not been a single clown range run this season that has even hinted at an arctic blast with similar intensity to the 1985 event.

[Catnip]

White.

[tyweather]

I am getting hail in Newton currently

[Typeing3]

Lots more stronger storms and AR events too with colder SST. Northern areas in these systems will get walloped with snows. Southern areas get +12C rains.

12Z GFS is really warm and rainy. Lock it in!

Just a general observation, but I have noticed in winters where we see many AR events often precede major snows and/or a cold snap/arctic blast.

[Typeing3]

Here you go.... Notice that the most extreme snowfall winter was the one that was followed up by the great flood of 1894.

agassizsnow.png

snowfall2.png

Thanks!

Overall it seems like pretty stark decline over the past 130 years or so. Definitely way more of a trend evident compared with Kamloops.

[Typeing3]

cfs_z500_anom_20E_northamerica_2021110906_181.png

Mid Dec thru mid Jan would be perfect timing for a pattern like that to set up.

Broad and amplified GOA ridge has staying power. Just need a stronger look to the SE ridge and moved west.

[Typeing3]

Toxic forum. Toxic behaviour. They do it to themselves every year. Then they blame each other lmao it’s really unbelievable how they keep it up.

I know we'll throw around those analogues sometimes too but it's more tongue in cheek.

Some of them are actually serious and set themselves up for huge disappointment year after year.

[PortKells]

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[stuffradio]

We still have 22 days until December. We shall see in December how things are looking. I am generally overall pretty optimistic about our odds this winter, it just seems like everything is stacking in our favour. On the other hand, we only have ~3 more months after that until Cherry Blossom season, so either way WIN WIN.

[Bc_trucker]

Tornado warning in Kitsap County Washington State pretty windy down here

[Typeing3]

Would honestly be pretty funny if we saw another #wintercancel scenario until February, just to see the american forum melt down in December and January... as usual.