November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Well Tbar just think starting tomorrow the models will be out an hour early.
When we all await the late evening models only to go to bed disappointed that it's always 10 days away or the drunken uncle model that show's up day after day,
hang on to your rug it could a fun ride or not.

[Weather101]

Until some cold air builds up north that we can tap into I wouldn’t expect anything cold down here.

[SouthSardiswx]

Until some cold air builds up north that we can tap into I wouldn’t expect anything cold down here.

Yup if there's nothing by Jan.1st l usually give up, tired of the Feb. syndrome.

[Lisa0527]

I think we're all waiting for word from Lisa...

We were actually eating outside on our covered deck…Dunbar area. Lots of rain and wind, but didn’t see lightning or anything like the UBC winds. We had guests so I wasn’t watching the news, and I was completely oblivious to the waterspout at UBC.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (10).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (11).png

[John]

Time change

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I was taking an afternoon nap when the waterspout and tornado hit. Never got worse than moderately breezy here.

[wetcoast91]

Been drier than expected this weekend. Even seeing some sunbreaks right now. The best dynamics for instability are offshore today.

[Forrest Gump]

7:47 AM PST Sunday 07 November 2021
Special weather statement in effect for:

Whistler
Snowfall continues today and tonight.

Threat: Further accumulations 10 to 20 cm by Monday morning.

Location: Whistler

Timespan: Today and tonight

Remarks: A cold and unstable onshore flow will continue to bring showery conditions and temperatures will hover near freezing. Predominantly, flurries are expected but they may become mixed with showers this afternoon. Snowfall accumulations of 5 to 10 cm are expected today with a further 5 to 10 cm tonight

[Weather101]

Yup if there's nothing by Jan.1st l usually give up, tired of the Feb. syndrome.

I really don’t care for February snow especially at sea level it warms up to quick

[PortKells]

End of the euro is interesting.

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-t850_anom_stream-7150400.png

[PortKells]

The Gem gets interesting too..

gem-all-namer-z500_anom-7150400.png

cmc-ensemble-all-avg-pna-box-6286400.png

[AbbyJr]

November 2006 has been mentioned on the American forums with regards to the mid month colder period modelled.

They seriously need to lower their expectations. A chilly period shows up in the clown range and then they start comparing it to the top tier analogs. This happens year after year and of course the event rarely lives up to the hype.

[PortKells]

November 2006 has been mentioned on the American forums with regards to the mid month colder period modelled.

They seriously need to lower their expectations. A chilly period shows up in the clown range and then they start comparing it to the top tier analogs. This happens year after year and of course the event rarely lives up to the hype.

Yeah its a toxic habit to do that and get people all riled up only to come crashing down when reality bites. Yes we post optimistic maps sometimes but I think most people here understand the difference between eye candy and expectations.

[PortKells]

Gusty out there right now.