November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Hawk]

After November 12th.

Only 6 days away!

[Hawk]

Splats at my place, Mix at SFU

[Hawk]

Very chilly rains today!!!

[Hawk]

Yup webcams show wet snow on Bby Mtn.
>> 3c and wet snow is the official

[Roberts Creeker]

The deck is stacked. We could get screwed again but you gotta feel good about the way things are unfolding so far.

This is by far the wettest SON period since 2016, what happened that year would be easily a win if we got something similar.

This year reminds me of what fall/winter used to be like, rain, rain and more rain. I have small ponds where I used to but haven't in recent years.

It was clear this morning but then I could feel the rain was coming and it got dark and humid and started down pouring with big splats of rain, just like yesterday's hail except it's rain instead and it keeps on coming down. Currently 5.1c down from a high of almost 7c.

[Roberts Creeker]

Yup webcams show wet snow on Bby Mtn.
>> 3c and wet snow is the official

Wow! Snow at the beginning of November That's gotta be good!

[AbbyJr]

The deck is stacked. We could get screwed again but you gotta feel good about the way things are unfolding so far.

This is by far the wettest SON period since 2016, what happened that year would be easily a win if we got something similar.

This winter has big potential to be epic but it could also fail. Time will tell but I am confident we will see at least one memorable cold and snowy period either in December or January.

[tyweather]

7cm of snow on Cypress so far. I am going up tomorrow and the winter tires are going on tonight. If anyone needs 225/65/R17 winters on rims with 114.5 bolt pattern at 50% wear let me know. I have 2 sets for 1 car at the moment.

[Hawk]

It's very troffy today . Check out those clouds out there (Satellite)

https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/no ... satellite/

[Hound]

Wow, Chilly 3.8c currently here.

[Typeing3]

It's very troffy today . Check out those clouds out there (Satellite)

https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/no ... satellite/

Enjoy it while you can!

We'll be transitioning into a +Nito pattern in 6 days.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png

gfs_T2ma_nwus_27.png

[PortKells]

This winter has big potential to be epic but it could also fail. Time will tell but I am confident we will see at least one memorable cold and snowy period either in December or January.

Feeling similarly confident. I remember last year and I was more hopeful than confident. I think just seeing something tangible like an old school September to November period makes a difference.

[PortKells]

Enjoy it while you can!

We'll be transitioning into a +Nito pattern in 6 days.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png
gfs_T2ma_nwus_27.png

If we are to get warm rains, let's get them now. Same thing happened in 2016 right before the ridging period.

[Typeing3]

18z GFS gets a bit interesting day 10-13. A bit of modified arctic air settles into the interior and trickles out to the coast. A couple chilly days followed by an overrunning event.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_48.png

gfs_T850_nwus_49.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_53.png

[AbbyJr]

Only 768 hrs away!

500h_anom.na.png