October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Antares]

Ok..that's insane. I think he could be one of those meteorologists who let's his own weather preferences slightly cloud his judgement. I do hope he's right of course.

He's the Jim/SnowWizard of Oregon.

At least he didn't mention 1968/69 or 1949/1950.

-5C here under clear skies at the moment.

[Typeing3]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1970/71, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified.

Here is his updated winter forecast video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HQn-rEmE_M

All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.

[SouthSardiswx]

Awesome Tman.

YVr did really well, any chance of posting afew island locales Tmaster? l'm thinking Nanaimo did well.
I remember l looked it up, I recall western sections of Vancouver did well like Kitsilano where l lived at the time. I remember Norm Grohman showing a satellite picture black and white back then with a nice low stationery off the coast back then, man what a snow event.
I remember satellite pictures were in 2 parts first frame in the morning 2nd frame in the afternoon.
I remember the satellite photo on t v. You could see it was pasted together.
Amazing now we get satellite imagery every hour or less and we can pull it up on the internet we are blessed with all the weather info. the public has access to.

[SouthSardiswx]

All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.

Either one works Tsnowman.

[SouthSardiswx]

I saw your earlier post, I run a moving company and I wish I would be able to help you with the cross border moving but with the Covid restrictions it’s difficult. When are you exactly moving ? Shoot me a private message

Any discounts to the Sickmiklameenzzzzz. Where it never snows in October.

[Typeing3]

YVr did really well, any chance of posting afew island locales Tmaster? l'm thinking Nanaimo did well.
I remember l looked it up, I recall western sections of Vancouver did well like Kitsilano where l lived at the time. I remember Norm Grohman showing a satellite picture black and white back then with a nice low stationery off the coast back then, man what a snow event.
I remember satellite pictures were in 2 parts first frame in the morning 2nd frame in the afternoon.
I remember the satellite photo on t v. You could see it was pasted together.
Amazing now we get satellite imagery every hour or less and we can pull it up on the internet we are blessed with all the weather info. the public has access to.

Planning on posting a similar table for island stations later this week.

Yeah, it was a historic snowstorm, especially for northern sections of Metro Vancouver. 80-120cm over a 4.5 day period. FWIW, I'd say the "Vancouver Dunbar" station likely was closest to where you lived.

[SouthSardiswx]

Planning on posting a similar table for island stations later this week.

Yeah, it was a historic snowstorm, especially for northern sections of Metro Vancouver. 80-120cm over a 4.5 day period. FWIW, I'd say the "Vancouver Dunbar" station likely was closest to where you lived.

Yes exactly of course l was close to the beach.
Another thing l'll never forget l remember the snow turning to mixed precip on the Thursday night that week.

[Roberts Creeker]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1970/71, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified.

Here is his updated winter forecast video:

That would be fantastic! Almost got down to 0c last night brrrr.

[SouthSardiswx]

That would be fantastic! Almost got down to 0c last night brrrr.

We've missed out on these frosty morning's due to the Anusol breeze in the central valley this weekend, it's died off tonight.

[AbbyJr]

All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.

I meant to put 1971/72. Thanks for the correction.

[AbbyJr]

Ok..that's insane. I think he could be one of those meteorologists who let's his own weather preferences slightly cloud his judgement. I do hope he's right of course.

Yeah thats what I was thinking as well. All of his analogs feature top tier cold and snowy patterns. That said, he did present some compelling evidence so maybe his forecast will verify. One can only hope...

[Leighbugs]

First sub-zero low here this morning, currently -1C. First frost happened here for me 2 days ago.

It's November! Bring on the snow!

[Hound]

I recently compiled snowfall totals for almost every station across the Lower Mainland for the January 1971 snowstorm. Keep in mind, most of these observations are from the old volunteer stations at EC, hence the difference in totals over small areas could be exaggerated due to measuring errors.

Very nice TypingMaster!!!
For your hard work, here is a trophy!

[SouthSardiswx]

Very nice TypingMaster!!!
For your hard work, here is a trophy!

Wait the cup l got from Gumps for winning last years over undies snowfall contest must be a fake, that's the real deal Houndsie.

[Hound]

This is the real deal: https://tempestwx.com/station/37384/grid