October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Glacier]

Some pics from a few days ago here:

Love the Larch Trees this time of year! I never even saw a larch tree until my 20s when I first visited the Okanagan (no larch west of Falkland).

[Catnip]

Ok mr knows the future your starting early with the no cold is coming bs lol

Johnny FTW!

[PortKells]

Ok mr knows the future your starting early with the no cold is coming bs lol

He should be worried. Cool October followed by a warmish November is exactly the pattern we need.

[Antares]

Is that near Cranbrook?

Yep, it's from Cranbrook Mountain. You can drive (on a narrow, steep gravel road) pretty close to the summit.

[Typeing3]

Yep, it's from Cranbrook Mountain. You can drive (on a narrow, steep gravel road) pretty close to the summit.

Looks very scenic.

Always loved the east kootenays. Interesting fact not known by most people is that some parts of the southern columbia valley are traditionally grasssland filled with scattered ponderosa pine forests and sagebrush due to the dry climate. Read this interesting article about that a while back: https://www.natureconservancy.ca/en/whe ... tenay.html

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/145 ... 50562?s=21

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/145 ... 50562?s=21

Not quite as low on the 00z GFS...Down to 955mb

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_3.png

Low off the coast on Sunday is 941mb per the 00z GFS though

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_16.png

[Roberts Creeker]

Its definitely got a feel to it! I don't know about a 10/10 winter but I'm feeling like at least average but hopefully better. Keeping in mind even average snowfall and temps would feel like a success lol.

True, but it's a sad time when you have your fingers and toes crossed for an average winter...

[Roberts Creeker]

Always 10 days away. Oh wait………it’s getting closer.

I should be on the ferry ⛴ Sunday night. That’ll be fun

I have people coming over from the Island on Thursday and returning Friday to pick up a lamb. I hope the ferries are running to the Island. Our run from Horseshoe Bay to Langdale is pretty sheltered and was cancelled for the first time in an 'abundance of caution'.

It's a bit windy out there tonight. I can hear the wind blowing through the trees.

[Roberts Creeker]

Hey Roberts Creeker, did you feel this earthquake?
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes ... /executive

I don't think it was felt in this area, you're the first to mention anything about it.

[Roberts Creeker]

Caught up, had about 4 pages to read...

Here's my fall colours, two ornamental maple trees in my garden

[tyweather]

Cool cloud formation on Vancouver Island

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

[SouthSardiswx]

Ok mr knows the future your starting early with the no cold is coming bs lol

Pineapple machine up and running.

[SouthSardiswx]

Cool cloud formation on Vancouver Island

Absolutely amazing photo Ty my man your bike in the foreground would have made it an epic shot.