October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[stuffradio]

Food for thought
https://mobile.twitter.com/KSeattleWeat ... 0661793794

[Hawk]

Happy Thanksgiving!



cfs-mon_01_T850a_namer_1.png

Cold November Rain? GnR

[Typeing3]

Active SW flow alternating with ridgy periods later this month into November. Could set us up for a colder spell later in November or in December.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BenNollWeath ... 9268282369

[Typeing3]

Food for thought
https://mobile.twitter.com/KSeattleWeat ... 0661793794

2016 and 2008 are notable recent examples of this.

[AbbyJr]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the Oregon Department of Forestry predicts a cold and snowy December in the PNW.

His latest forecast for October-December issued September 16th used the following analogs: 1971, 1996, and 2008.

An average of those years gives you the following:

octdecanalogs.png

Looks awesome if it verifies. No guarantees but we can hope.

Here is his forecast video for those interested. I'm looking forward to his next update.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1dxRitkcsE

[Typeing3]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the Oregon Department of Forestry predicts a cold and snowy December in the PNW.

His latest forecast for October-December issued September 16th used the following analogs: 1971, 1996, and 2008.

An average of those years gives you the following:

octdecanalogs.png


Looks awesome if it verifies. No guarantees but we can hope.

Here is his forecast video for those interested. I'm looking forward to his next update.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1dxRitkcsE

Wow, those are all top tier December's, snowfall-wise.

~75-150cm fell across most of the south coast in each of Dec '71/'96/'08.

[Roberts Creeker]

First frost overnight. Got down to almost 2C and there was ice on my windshield this morning.

The asparagus always looks so pretty when it's frost covered.

[Roberts Creeker]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the Oregon Department of Forestry predicts a cold and snowy December in the PNW.

Oh yay, an early start to the winter disappointment.

[AbbyJr]

Oh yay, an early start to the winter disappointment.

Lets hope not.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (9).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (10).png

[SouthSardiswx]

Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the Oregon Department of Forestry predicts a cold and snowy December in the PNW.

His latest forecast for October-December issued September 16th used the following analogs: 1971, 1996, and 2008.

An average of those years gives you the following:

octdecanalogs.png


Looks awesome if it verifies. No guarantees but we can hope.

Here is his forecast video for those interested. I'm looking forward to his next update.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1dxRitkcsE

Remember the Canuckle rule Jr. man when comes to our winter, they always look great in October then fall apart by December.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Clear and dry last night. A brief display of the aurora borealis, then patchy frost, then fog around dawn. Low of 2ËšC at the neighborhood sensor.

[stuffradio]

It dropped to 2C here, at least according to the weather app.

[Glacier]

It dropped to 2C here, at least according to the weather app.

Downright tropical! -4C here. Also, down into double digit negatives in BC this morning...

lowsoct12.png

lowsallstationsoct12s.png

lowsw4ocot12.png

PS. This morning's lows on the Lower Mainland...

lowstoday.png

[Glacier]

Quite the Northern Lights last night! Even pictures coming in from Lyden showing them! I tried to take a pic, but didn't have my camera set right. Next time for sure!