October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

It's been windy here this morning but seems to have calmed down right now. No branches down and the leaves are still hanging on tight to the alder trees.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Peak gusts so far today 63 km/h at KBLI, 68 km/h in my neighborhood. Sort of a surprise to have my (lower, somewhat sheltered) neighborhood sensor read higher. Seems to have quieted a bit in the past hour.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 1034545157

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 8273523712

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 7255845899

https://mobile.twitter.com/CTVNewsGord/ ... 5374146561
:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Glacier »

Currently +1 and snowy in northwest Alberta. Also, +30 in southeastern Alberta.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

Glacier wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:08 pm Currently +1 and snowy in northwest Alberta. Also, +30 in southeastern Alberta.

FA9oEJAUYAQvInt.jpg
What are the AB and SK October records? Seems likely that at least daily records have fallen across much of the southern Prairies.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

This seems too early for a SSW. I'd rather see one in mid-late November so we can hopefully see the arctic effects in December.

For the sake of our winter, I would think we would want the SSW event to hold off another month but I could be wrong.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Thunderstorms tomorrow?
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-lightning_density_inst-3554000.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:32 pm This seems too early for a SSW. I'd rather see one in mid-late November so we can hopefully see the arctic effects in December.

For the sake of our winter, I would think we would want the SSW event to hold off another month but I could be wrong.

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-t10_anom-4148000.png
After last year, I'm not going to be picky... I just want something better. I had a snow event of a bit more than a dusting like maybe a couple of cm on December 21 and then basically nothing else the rest of the winter.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 5:34 pm After last year, I'm not going to be picky... I just want something better. I had a snow event of a bit more than a dusting like maybe a couple of cm on December 21 and then basically nothing else the rest of the winter.
I'm confident this winter will be better than the past two. :thumbup: :D
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Abby_wx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:49 pm Thunderstorms tomorrow?
I had a thundershower today... briefly recorded a 142 mm/hr rainfall rate.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:29 pm What are the AB and SK October records? Seems likely that at least daily records have fallen across much of the southern Prairies.
AB: 33.9°C
MB: 34.0°C
SK: 35.5°C (national record)

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 4950342656
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 5:40 pm I'm confident this winter will be better than the past two. :thumbup: :D
I'm not ready for winter yet.
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It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

It's always 6 to 8 weeks away. :D :roll:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:49 pm Thunderstorms tomorrow?

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-lightning_density_inst-3554000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-cape-3554000.png
Jr man's got an eye for picking up on these little details. :thumbup:
I can't wait for your excellent winter forecasts this year. :clap:
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Tue Oct 05, 2021 9:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 5:34 pm After last year, I'm not going to be picky... I just want something better. I had a snow event of a bit more than a dusting like maybe a couple of cm on December 21 and then basically nothing else the rest of the winter.
Welp you have a better chance of picking your nose than picking up snow around these parts. :mrgreen:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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