October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5272
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4348 times
Been thanked: 10603 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 1:24 pm Phil and Snow Wizard are debating each other on the American forums. Welcome to the winter months. :lol:
How many times has Jim mentioned 1950 today?
It's called clown range for a reason.
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 6:06 pm How many times has Jim mentioned 1950 today?
Ah yes, his annual 1950 analogue reference. Right about on time... he usually mentions it whenever we see a cool/chilly period in October. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 4:29 pm Definitely an elevated chance of seeing a first freeze or at least a first frost a couple weeks ahead of the 1991-2020 climate normals.
Or early season snow capped NS mountains for once... instead of struggling to open by mid Dec :clap: :clap:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 4:29 pm Definitely an elevated chance of seeing a first freeze or at least a first frost a couple weeks ahead of the 1991-2020 climate normals.
Good call Tman best to keep the bar low save disappointment and criticism come March. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5599
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10318 times
Been thanked: 10086 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 7:11 pm Ah yes, his annual 1950 analogue reference. Right about on time... he usually mentions it whenever we see a cool/chilly period in October. :lol:
When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3908
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22046 times
Been thanked: 7373 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 10:36 pm When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?
1950? :lol: :lol:

Another nice day here but showers have moved in tonight. Currently 11.8C which is the high of the day. :shock:
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 10:40 pm 1950? :lol: :lol:

Another nice day here but showers have moved in tonight. Currently 11.8C which is the high of the day. :shock:
Yeah really. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John! :wave: :o
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (20).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 02, 2021 10:36 pm When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?
Jr. man don't forget to post your September stats. :thumbup: :wave: :clap:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 03, 2021 12:18 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (20).png
Whoa..this is legit chilly and wet :shock: :shock:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Top
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

There has been many recent years where the NS peaks would barely get any snow right through Nov, nm early Oct :shock: :shock:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5599
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10318 times
Been thanked: 10086 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

The 18Z RGEM went significantly wetter for Tuesday with 50 mm for Abbotsford. Previous runs were around 20 mm. Good thing I just cleaned out my rain gauge a few days ago. :clap: :thumbup:
Screen Shot 2021-10-03 at 8.39.26 PM.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Oct 03, 2021 8:50 pm The 18Z RGEM went significantly wetter for Tuesday with 50 mm for Abbotsford. Previous runs were around 20 mm. Good thing I just cleaned out my rain gauge a few days ago. :clap: :thumbup:

Screen Shot 2021-10-03 at 8.39.26 PM.png
Fill my pond baby. :thumbup:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16680 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Just checked my pet wooly caterpillar, yup its gonna be a cold winter. :clap: :thumbup: :o
images.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”