September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:05 am Interesting how since around 1985 the trend has been downward with precip amounts ~40-50% less. In that same time period, much less snow with a downward trend as well :think: :think:
Could these be related > Less precip in summers and milder/less snow in winter?
Nito? Monty? Goose? C79? Bono? Anyone? :wave:
The rolling average for June-September precip was just as low in the late 40s thru the 50s (when we had some big snow years) as it is in the present-day. Which makes me think there isn't much of a correlation.

I posted similar graphs for Vancouver a while back, check the stats thread if you're interested. :thumbup:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 1:15 am Not just early season. 50.9mm at YVR is fairly impressive for any rainstorm, even in November. I counted 59 of the 84 years at YVR, there were no days with over 50mm of rain.
Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bluefudge »

Unfortunately in heavy downpours my Vantage Pro 2 rain gauge lags behind other gauges. With that my total up until present is an even 79 mm but with my CoCoRaHS rain gauge I measured 91.8 mm.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 2:40 pm Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Don't forget about the event in September 2010 as well.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Had two thunder claps to my east about an hour ago.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

PortKells wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:03 pm Had two thunder claps to my east about an hour ago.
:arrow: :clap: :clap:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 2:40 pm Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:54 pm Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
January 1935 was worse. Huge rainfall totals over a 24, 48, 72 and 96 hour period. Massive ice storm, and rain after things warmed up a touch.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:54 pm Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
October 2003 was one of the most intense AR events to hit the region. Widespread flooding and non-existent rain shadow.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:29 pm October 2003 was one of the most intense AR events to hit the region. Widespread flooding and non-existent rain shadow.
Check out the totals for the January 1935 event. :thumbup:

Puts even October 2003 to shame, imo.

Here's the data for the old Stave Falls station from back then : https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 35&Month=1#
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:59 pm Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
I think our friend had some bad fettuccine..
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Hound wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:59 pm Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
Thunderstorm in Ladner right now too
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Here we gooooo :clap: :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

dont you just love September?
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