September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Sep 16, 2021 7:18 am 3.9C here. I actually turned the heat on for a few minutes. EC seems pretty conservative with rain totals So far.
Here's the latest SREFPlumes. Basically 50+mm for Vancouver.
Screenshot 2021-09-16 at 07-31-49 NCEP SREF Plume Viewer.png
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Glacier wrote: ↑Thu Sep 16, 2021 6:40 am Wow below freezing! This is the earliest frost I've seen in a long time!
-0.7C this morning on my balcony. :clap:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: ↑Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:59 am Maybe our buddy will see snow in the Similkameen!
Thanks John but its Similkameens with an "s" 8-)
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Wed Sep 15, 2021 10:46 am 0EDE0713-A15F-4D8F-9424-5FAF45823B63.png
The Chanterelles will love it! :clap: :clap:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Antares wrote: ↑Thu Sep 16, 2021 7:36 am -0.7C this morning on my balcony. :clap:
We had an early, hot summer. Maybe now an early, wet autumn? First major storm incoming looks like an Oct/Nov soaker. It looks like we are actually around 3-4 weeks ahead of the usual patterns for around 2 months now running. Lets keep it going boys and girls. :lurk:
Lets start winter this year early too for the natural hatrick! :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Coquihalla peaks were getting snow yesterday around noon..temp was 3c at the summit :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

My brother took this picture between Tullameen and the Coquihalla
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Thunderstorms Saturday?
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-lightning_density_inst-2002400.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Sep 16, 2021 2:20 pm Thunderstorms Saturday?

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-lightning_density_inst-2002400.png
I'd say it's possible. CAPE values peak above 300 in the Vancouver area that day.

On Sunday, CAPE values peak just above 500 here. :clap:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

https://twitter.com/MichaelCarterWx/sta ... 84067?s=20

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 96129?s=20
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

It seems like yesterday it was 40c and we were dying for rain. Finally a real rain storm is coming! YAY! Fun!
My low last night was 6c. I left my window open and the chilly air came in feeling so good!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:50 pm Are you heading to Richmond tomorrow Ms. Creeker to pick up your lamb? still looking dry. :thumbup:
I haven't been able to organize it with the owner yet, so thank you for asking but no, not yet.

Any guesses for a dry day next week? Or are we all going to be washed into the ocean by then.

Rainfall warning up now. EC is calling for 50 - 70 mm for Sechelt and 60 km/h winds. I thought it was going to be aa full weekend of rain but Sat and Sun are showers.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

1am rain just started... Here we go!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:05 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
Overall pretty seasonal and not too wet after today. I’ll take it.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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