August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

More info on that:

https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/29/weather/ ... index.html

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

[SouthSardiswx]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png

Welp Trex that pretty much concludes summer 2021.

[SouthSardiswx]

Listening to storm coverage on WWL New Orleans on line as their station is on generator power absolutely heartbreaking.

[SouthSardiswx]

The big easy may not have power for weeks.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The big easy may not have power for weeks.

Category Four Hurricane
(Sustained winds 130-156 mph, 113-136 kt, or 209-251 km/h)
Catastrophic damage will occur… Power outages will last for weeks to possibly
months. Long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will
be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/sshws.pdf

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

As I expected, the levees, which had been much improved since Katrina, held in New Orleans. As such, the decision to not evacuate that city was probably the right call. It kept a huge amount of traffic off the roads before the storm, which made it easier for areas that were not so protected by levees to evacuate. The death toll would have been far worse if the storm had hit when the highways were still jammed with people trying to evacuate. Far better to condemn people to riding out a hurricane in a house than in a car.

[Roberts Creeker]

It sure feels like it's going to rain. 14.1C 80% humidity An early fall.

[Hound]

All of New Orleans is without power.

https://twitter.com/16WAPTNews/status/1 ... 96256?s=20

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-s0Uy29IG8

[Glacier]

Unfortunately we don't have our old forum to verify this but l recall Mr. M mentioning this l think it was the Malahat station.

Malahat has the warmest nights by far of any station in BC. It's sitting on top of a ridge, so maybe that's why.

But yes, I remember that one. September 5th, 2017 was absolutely crazy! 4.6C warmer than the previous warmest September night on record, and in fact, warmer than even every June, July, and August day on record... until June 27th and June 28th, 2021...

malahatsept.png

MALAHATLWS.png

[Typeing3]

Malahat has the warmest nights by far of any station in BC. It's sitting on top of a ridge, so maybe that's why.

But yes, I remember that one. September 5th, 2017 was absolutely crazy! 4.6C warmer than the previous warmest September night on record, and in fact, warmer than even every June, July, and August day on record... until June 27th and June 28th, 2021...

malahatsept.png

MALAHATLWS.png

Yeah that's what I remembered. Crazy to have an overnight low that warm given how much longer the nights are in early Sept compared with late June.

Was the next warmest low across the province during that event recorded at the West Vancouver station?

[AbbyJr]

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-0324800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_norm_anom-1145600.png

[PortKells]

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-0324800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_norm_anom-1145600.png

We can handle that.

[stuffradio]

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-0324800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_norm_anom-1145600.png

Pretty nice

[AbbyJr]

Hey does anyone think a windstorm near or at the intensity of the October 1962 storm could actually hit our region again?

Abbotsford hit a peak wind gust of 145 km/h.