Winter 2021-2022

[Antares]

Anyone getting excited yet?

ENSO region 3.4 is -0.6 and generally trending to zero, which bodes well for us (recent neutral winters have been good for BC as a whole)


I'm sure a lot will be gun-shy, including myself, but fingers crossed...

[Bonovox]

Phil is pretty convinced of a multi year nina. I'll take neutral though.

Last winter really burned me. Such high expectations, which is probably my fault, but whatever.

[SouthSardiswx]

Phil is pretty convinced of a multi year nina. I'll take neutral though.

Last winter really burned me. Such high expectations, which is probably my fault, but whatever.

Agreed and same with me last winter was very taxing and disappointing. I think l'll go into next winter not expecting much better for my health as well.

[SouthSardiswx]

Anyone getting excited yet?

ENSO region 3.4 is -0.6 and generally trending to zero, which bodes well for us (recent neutral winters have been good for BC as a whole)


I'm sure a lot will be gun-shy, including myself, but fingers crossed...

l think the one phrase that describes our failed winter's is. "You can't handle the truth"

[Roberts Creeker]

l think the one phrase that describes our failed winter's is. "You can't handle the truth"

I'm looking forward to winter with these heatwaves in the forecast.

[PortKells]

I'm looking forward to winter with these heatwaves in the forecast.

It's funny I'm almost more down for spring and fall these days. The winters have seen more frustration than they're worth and summers have been smoke filled nightmares. This spring and last have been pleasant though and fall with the colours can be so spectacular.

That said, hopefully one of these winters doesn't suck, ala 2016/2017.

[Roberts Creeker]

It's funny I'm almost more down for spring and fall these days. The winters have seen more frustration than they're worth and summers have been smoke filled nightmares. This spring and last have been pleasant though and fall with the colours can be so spectacular.

That said, hopefully one of these winters doesn't suck, ala 2016/2017.

That's so true, I don't expect anything epic from spring and fall so no disappointments or worries and I like the variability in the weather.

[Typeing3]

Euro seasonal as of August 1st. 500mb height anomalies:

DEC

Screenshot_20210808-130947_Chrome.jpg.31e10d9a0b3092dff8ea0d21dfbfccd4.jpg

JAN

Screenshot_20210808-131004_Chrome.thumb.jpg.a2d4ca3e46f21d2f1585db6764445211.jpg

FEB

Screenshot_20210808-131028_Chrome.thumb.jpg.a256b54f44c02381f8f2102861665b99.jpg

[Typeing3]

Preliminary winter forecast by WeatherBell.

November_2021_March_2022_Forecast.png.17b0ac2bbf427e0e6ae1c9f226fb131f.png

Snowfall_Forecast_Winter_2021_22.png.faeaccf35d0d7abc0897ae22ca398523.png

[Typeing3]

Waters east of Japan have cooled significantly over the last couple weeks.

FWIW, I recall this also happening during late summer/early fall 2016, which ultimately lead to the strong zonal/SW jet with constant precip for us in Oct and Nov. I think we'd all love a repeat of that winter!

cdas-sflux_ssta7diff_global_1.png

[Bonovox]

Waters east of Japan have cooled significantly over the last couple weeks.

FWIW, I recall this also happening during late summer/early fall 2016, which ultimately lead to the strong zonal/SW jet with constant precip for us in Oct and Nov. I think we'd all love a repeat of that winter!

I'll take zonal over split flow every day of the week.

[Canada Goose]

[Canada Goose]

https://twitter.com/blizzardof96/status ... 88513?s=20

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Consensus on the AF seems to be that the second winters of two-winter La Niñas generally suck.

[Hound]

Consensus on the AF seems to be that the second winters of two-winter La Niñas generally suck.

Well that's depressing.