August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:37 pm That ridge will probably trend east right over BC. More heat just around the corner. :roll: :sick: :sick: :sick:

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_norm_anom-9417600.png
How bad is the long range EPS?
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:22 pm How bad is the long range EPS?
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:19 pm Will this be thick enough smoke to effect temperatures on Friday? Regardless... :sick: :sick: :sick:

hrrr-vancouverski-smoke-8899200.png
Holy fack. That might be worse than we've seen it in previous years.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:24 pm

A clear warm signal with tons of time for another 40 C Smoky death ridge to form.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

34.0c here in east coquitlam. No outflow winds... yet.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:25 pm Holy fack. That might be worse than we've seen it in previous years.
:lol: The worst we've ever seen.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:25 pm Holy fack. That might be worse than we've seen it in previous years.
It may not verify. Let's all all hope it doesn't. I'd rather have the heat than historically horrible air quality.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:19 pm Will this be thick enough smoke to effect temperatures on Friday? Regardless... :sick: :sick: :sick:

hrrr-vancouverski-smoke-8899200.png
Oh my god, 1797 in that one spot??!! That can't be right. Could that not be enough to cause smoke inhalation and death?
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:29 pm It may not verify. Let's all all hope it doesn't. I'd rather have the heat than historically horrible air quality.
Forecast seems to be getting worse by the hour. It's certainly going to get worse. Last night looked pretty marginal for smoke and now...we are potentially looking at 3 days of this.
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:25 pm Holy fack. That might be worse than we've seen it in previous years.
I think July 2015 was probably the worst we've seen in recent history (at least at ground level).
CJPUPqEUkAEwt1F-e1436279337854.jpg
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:33 pm Forecast seems to be getting worse by the hour. It's certainly going to get worse. Last night looked pretty marginal for smoke and now...we are potentially looking at 3 days of this.
No, 3 days with a slight reprieve followed by however long the next ridge lasts. Welcome to the rest of summer.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:10 pm Must be from a fire fairly close by. Harrison Lake?
I’d guess the fires in the canyon or the Coq. They look pretty active with smoke streaming right into the lower Fraser valley.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

https://twitter.com/HRRRSmokeBot/status ... 49955?s=20

That gets entrenched. Does the trough Sunday into Monday even clear this gunk out?
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:50 pm That gets entrenched. Does the trough Sunday into Monday even clear this gunk out?
It does lighten up ever so slightly at the end of the run, but these forecasts have been progressively getting worse, so that's a good point.
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