August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

The interior fires are beginning to flare up pretty good with smoke plumes beginning to turn from NW to N and NNE. Looks like we may see some sneaking into the Fraser valley as early as this evening
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:26 pm This is stupid.
Agree.
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status ... 94531?s=19
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

You can see smoke to the east of Chilliwack looks filtered and high based. 😷
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I guess the HRRR was on to something when it started showing smoke infiltrating the coast by tomorrow morning. Gets worse.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:46 pm Agree.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

HRRR sticking to a widespread 35-39 inland tomorrow. :tiredos:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Heat - GO AWAY!
Smoke - GO AWAY!
Rain - Come and play!
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:sick: :sick: :sick:

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 97156?s=20
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00Z 3km NAM gives Abbotsford a 40c on Friday. :sick:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

It has basically come down to, do you prefer 35-40c and clear or 30-35c with smoke? I guess I'll take whichever one kills the fewest of our most vulnerable. That's what this summer has come to.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The smoke forecast on https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/ is not nearly as intense with the smoke as the HRRR. Likely would not impact temperatures at all. Does anyone know what model or models are used to produce the forecast?
Screenshot 2021-08-11 9.07.46 PM.png
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Sweet relief!
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:04 pm It has basically come down to, do you prefer 35-40c and clear or 30-35c with smoke? I guess I'll take whichever one kills the fewest of our most vulnerable. That's what this summer has come to.
And many or even most summers from here on out. Here's what its come down to...if you don't end up in a repeating low pressure pattern, you are going to scorch. Doesn't matter where you are, PNW, Siberia, etc.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:14 pm The smoke forecast on https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/ is not nearly as intense with the smoke as the HRRR. Likely would not impact temperatures at all. Does anyone know what model or models are used to produce the forecast?
I believe it is the Forestry faculty at UBC. It's their own model.
Last edited by Bonovox on Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:04 pm It has basically come down to, do you prefer 35-40c and clear or 30-35c with smoke? I guess I'll take whichever one kills the fewest of our most vulnerable. That's what this summer has come to.
Models are pretty much saying...

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